staminade3 hours ago
This is from March 2026, but it does match what I've encountered professionally. Code review was always a significant bottleneck and is even more so with agentic coding. We've had discussions about leaning more on automated review, but it hasn't translated into any practical improvements so far. I think senior engineers find it very difficult to give up on line-by-line review, no matter how much better the agents have gotten.
I think if there is a major change in code review culture, it's not going to happen first in established engineering teams. It'll happen in startups that adopt a no-human-review policy from jump and then maintain it as they mature. I'm sure that's happening, but it's likely invisible to most studies and surveys at the moment. If it proves successful, and such companies start shipping significantly faster, the rest of the industry will be forced to adopt.
cyb_an hour ago
I would reframe this as: Quality was always a significant bottleneck and is even more so with agentic coding.
Code review is where many of the design & code quality problems are observed/highlighted.
paimapi20 minutes ago
And test creation and maintenance. AI-generated tests will often embed existing bugs as testable patterns that fail when fixed or rely on empty asserts to increase coverage. A human author generally knows better. Coverage is increasingly becoming theater and runtime testing eating up CI resources and time with bloated, unnecessary, untargeted testing that hasn't been mutation tested or had test oracles implemented are another drag.
It's really the smaller firms which are able to learn quick adaptations that will win out in the long-run of this thing. Legacy firms with institutionalized bureaucracies are relying on gobbling up competitors and creating vertical monopolies while pushing out the worst slop - it's why GH goes down, why Meta products are buggy as hell now, and everything feels like it's unpolished MVPs these days.
svachalek2 hours ago
I agree. The latest models are getting quite good at validation, as long as they are clear on what the requirements are. Recently I got frustrated that while we have a huge test suite I noticed the LLM was hardly ever breaking a test with its changes (PRs only added tests, never changed old ones) which seemed suspicious.
I had it do a full audit. There were about 100k lines of tests, of which it determined about 60k were near useless. Many were overly mocked, some mocked to the point that they really weren't testing anything at all. It deleted those and wrote more expansive scenario tests to replace them, caught a lot of bugs on the way and fixed those too. Total time was about 2 hours.
I think humans need to review requirements, specifications, and test scenarios. And for some industries and uses they're still going to have to review every detail. But for a typical CRUD app, I think we're at a point where we can already set the process and quality bar higher than ever, in addition to moving faster.
devin2 hours ago
I chuckle a little bit at this specification thing. We used to do this. We used to write big binders of specifications, and then we'd set about implementing them. We stopped doing it because it didn't really work. We'd learn things in the process of building which negated the value of the big specs we wrote. That's why we stopped doing it. This is where continuous improvement, CI/CD, tighter release cycles, etc. were all born.
jbs789an hour ago
It is funny. At some point the code is the specification.
Terr_an hour ago
Remember when it was time to fire all the engineers because your business-analysts could just make UML diagrams?
gf00011 minutes ago
FWIW, it's a great little "trick" to always ask for red-green tests. In my experience it's enough to ask for that and LLMs know what to do.
KylerAce2 hours ago
Glad to see someone else notice this. I dread looking at or dealing with AI written unit tests because of the incredible amount of whiteboxing that goes on, though usually for the opposite reason because AI testing is almost entirely whitebox testing which fails if some internal details change
tored2 hours ago
Yes, unfortunately a lot of requirements and specifications are now AI slop, thus developers stop reading them, and agent produce even more slop.
We need to take back writing requirements and specifications to humans.
Adopting high level BDD style testing of human written user stories (cucumber) is probably a good idea.
jimbokunan hour ago
Just have AI write requirements then another AI write specs based on the requirements then another AI write tests based on the specs and another AI write the implementation based on the tests then another AI write the PR based on the implementation then another AI approve the PR and another AI deploy approved PRs to production!
alteroman hour ago
Don't forget: let the user's AI use the product, find flaws, submit AI-generated bug-reports, which get turned into AI-generated tickets, etc.
smaudet31 minutes ago
And meanwhile, did any human find the whole process useful - no, not all...
alterom17 minutes ago
Also, the entire thing is fully funded with AI tokens, which are paid for with money from investments into AI companies, made with AI pension funds.
Wait, no, that's ACTUAL HUMAN pensions, because plenty of AI companies are still "investment grade"
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brandonkochkodin/2026/10/12/ai-...
rbehrends2 hours ago
> I think senior engineers find it very difficult to give up on line-by-line review, no matter how much better the agents have gotten.
I actually dislike traditional code review. In part this is because most of our code review tools are very cumbersome to use (GitHub's and GitLab's web interfaces in particular).
But also because humans aren't all that great at code review when it comes to correctness and security. Part of the problem is that you don't have access to the author's mental model for non-trivial changes and have to reconstruct it, otherwise your understanding of the program logic will be inadequate.
The problem is that purely agentic code review has orthogonal problems, and typically remains subpar when it comes to judging architecture and design considerations, compared to human reviewers. Both false positives and false negatives also remain a concern.
My best results so far have been with agent-assisted code review in a proper IDE, helping you to quickly construct a mental model and to analyze the underlying logic (in addition to having agents do a first pass for correctness issues).
necovek42 minutes ago
> Part of the problem is that you don't have access to the author's mental model for non-trivial changes and have to reconstruct it, otherwise your understanding of the program logic will be inadequate.
I actually believe the opposite: exactly the fact that a reviewer had to develop a mental model independently is why code review is and remains valuable (and why people use different models when doing agentic reviews).
The biggest value of doing code reviews is in ensuring maintainability of the code (1. someone else can understand it, 2. it is readable and 3. can be evolved in the future) — everything else is downstream from that.
gf000a minute ago
> exactly the fact that a reviewer had to develop a mental model
But do they? In my experience, at most workplaces it's simply a meat linter phase with the occasional useless comment about style (which should probably be handled by proper CI/CD).
Like if you don't even check out the code (generalized 'you'), then they can hardly build up that model. And even checked out, viewed in its proper context, Naur's famous paper comes to mind - the author who wrote it is the only one who has properly built the theory (which might have included alternative implementations that failed but have no visible artifact).
I'm not claiming that there are no places that go absolutely above and beyond with their review sessions, but I would argue it's really rare - and AIs are great at figuring out some of the context the PR description lacks.
rbehrends37 minutes ago
> I actually believe the opposite: exactly the fact that a reviewer had to develop a mental model independently is why code review is and remains valuable (and why people use different models when doing agentic reviews).
I don't think we actually disagree here. I also think it is valuable, but it's also what often makes it difficult.
> The biggest value of doing code reviews is in ensuring maintainability of the code (1. someone else can understand it, 2. it is readable and 3. can be evolved in the future) — everything else is downstream from that.
Agree very much with that (with the slight caveat that it is not always the biggest value, just an important one).
skydhashan hour ago
> But also because humans aren't all that great at code review when it comes to correctness and security. Part of the problem is that you don't have access to the author's mental model for non-trivial changes and have to reconstruct it, otherwise your understanding of the program logic will be inadequate.
Code review is not really about correctness and security. We have testing and other verification process for these. Code review is about idea discussion mostly and correcting a few stuff that may have slipped through the author's initial review.
Your PR wants to change the software in some way. My review is to comment on how you've implemented that change, like did you miss some areas where you needed to change, does your description is actually what is happening (either a cursory reading or through testing), or are you doing some unnecessary change.
IMO, the initial reading shouldn't take more than 10 minutes. More than that (so a big diff) it should have been discussed upfront, and the design agreed. If it's an important area, a more careful reading should be done about the tests and relevant stuff.
But generally, if a review takes more than 10 minutes, there's some failure of communication going on (reviewer not apt to understand the change, big diffs that should have been discussed outside of the PR, obtuse code,...)
rbehrendsan hour ago
All good points. Maybe having worked a lot with concurrent and distributed system makes me distrustful of relying on unit/integration tests for correctness; I've seen too many concurrency issues pass CI validation. But unit tests also sometimes miss edge cases in more straightforward code, so I'm still a bit more cautious.
I also agree that merge requests should be short and understandable in 10 minutes, but IME this happy state often does not obtain in practice. It shouldn't, but it often does, whether it's mission creep, whether it's turning out that a change is more complex than originally imagined, or whether it is unavoidably complex and cannot be broken down further.
bluefirebrand26 minutes ago
> IMO, the initial reading shouldn't take more than 10 minutes. More than that (so a big diff) it should have been discussed upfront, and the design agreed
Part of the code review process is to verify that the writer actually did build the agreed design too though.
hgowietoi2 hours ago
We shouldn't give up on line-by-line review for serious applications.
My company's leadership is oscillating every few weeks on AI goals. Their most recent story is "we're expecting developer velocity to approximately double over the new 2-3 years as people get better at using AI". But of course that's completely non sequitur. People on my team spend about 10% of their time writing code and 90% doing design and analysis. So if AI doubles our code writing velocity, then it will make us 5% faster overall.
uxhacker44 minutes ago
Just to back you up most surveys say only 10% to 20% of programmers time is coding.
Microsoft study of 484 developers, published in 2025 says 11%.
Another Microsoft study where programmers had telemetry installed showed 21%
LarsDu8831 minutes ago
It's interesting. I remember around COVID, there were a bunch of startups building 3d printers for concrete housing. Then I looked up the actual cost of construction for a typical house, and only 14% of it was the most visible part (the balloon framing and physical house). Most of the cost is in foundations, plumbing, wiring, and things like insulation, flooring, cabinets, etc.
I guess at Microsoft coding is similar to building a house in that sense. Either that or all big orgs devolve into large amounts of time spent on politics.
Sharlin2 hours ago
I wish they taught Amdahl's law in business school. Or at the very least the simple concept of "bottleneck".
a34729t2 hours ago
"The Goal" is a key business book for a reason, but leadership seems to not get the lesson. Or care?
strulovich2 hours ago
I’m sure they learn it by other names.
The point is that while good to remember, and specifically Fred Brook’s “No Silver Bullet” article about it, there are second order effects.
If coding becomes 100x cheaper, what’s going to happen next? At least to some degree, design and planning was there since coding is expensive. (Not just coding, debugging also got squashed by AI and was an expensive part of the job)
This is why the original comment seems pretty spot on, organizations will learn how to skip more phases, and startups are probably a place where this will be happening faster. (Not clearly though, a lot of big tech are happy tokenmaxxing to try and not stay behind those startups when they come)
scruplean hour ago
Brooks' point was more about accidental vs. essential complexity. You seem to be implying that design was only ever an artifact of "expensive" typing, but design exists to prevent systems from collapsing under different failure states.
If the cost of emitting syntax collapses without adequately resolving the essential complexity then you have not eliminated the design phase and you're just externalizing your failure modes onto downstream teams and systems.
smaudet28 minutes ago
Coding was never the bottleneck...
And how many billions or trillions have we wasted on people who didn't understand that (or did, and are just busy generating hype).
Ultimately, this (llm) technology (as it is being developed/used), is not useful to us...
euiee22 minutes ago
Yup we already knew this.
Google had many engineers working on a) failed projects b) people being paid to sit around.
There seems to be this strange belief on here that making something more accessible to everyone will always result in better outcomes. I don’t see this being true of software.
I’m very pro-tech. But nobody can point me to a product built by someone outside of the large tech firms, made by by llm’s that is a great value add to one’s life. Many of those were already created - they’re on the apple App Store for example.
I’m absolutely confident coding speed is irrelevant. A person who has a real vision + strategy and hand written code will beat the team with no vision, strategy and code blasted out by llm’s.
Sure llm’s could augment the former - but you’re missing the point!!
jimbokunan hour ago
Which is basically what this study is showing.
alteroman hour ago
> So if AI doubles our code writing velocity, then it will make us 5% faster overall.
This tracks with the actual revenue impact of AI adoption:
https://www.bcg.com/publications/2026/the-formula-for-agenti...
Their very cheerful "high" revenue increase from AI adoption (that few companies in the index manage to achieve) sits at 4.5%. Most of those in the "value generating" minority are seeing sub-1% returns.
Which, of course, is non-zero, real, and all that, and matters when we're talking about a 4-5% increase of a big company's revenue, assuming the expenses are not catching up with that.
Which they absolutely are. The AI is subsidized by venture capital, and the subsidies are drying up (hence OpenAI upcoming funding round). None of the AI companies are profitable (much less self-sustaining), and AI prices are inevitably increasing.
red75prime2 hours ago
Is your company striving to automate design and analysis, then?
keybrd-intrrpt2 hours ago
> We shouldn't give up on line-by-line review for serious applications.
But how many changes are actually serious?
I can have an agent mass-produce security bug fixes, zip through our low-priority backlog, etc.
IMO - we need to get out of our own way.
Building is cheap now. Agents are also really good at following checklists and running tests.
So instead of having individual engineers reviewing code, we need to
* Leave human review for the most impactful changes
* Get better at defining the quality bar
* Continually codify human concerns into rules or systems that can be checked against
A lot of this was touched on a few months ago with Spec-driven development becoming a hot topic when agentic coding started.
We should continue that with spec-driven review, testing, etc.
pessimizeran hour ago
> I can have an agent mass-produce security bug fixes
I can't figure out what you're trying to say here. Are you saying that this is acceptable? Because I very much don't think it is. You'll have twice the bugs after you're done, and they'll be inhuman ones that you have little chance of catching.
> But how many changes are actually serious?
I mean, "security bug fixes" are not on your list of serious changes? What is?
notarobot1232 hours ago
...and they are not using LLMs to help speed up design and analysis?
I'm no booster but this is most of what I currently spend tokens on so it's maybe not as absurd as it sounds. Maybe those gains are possible and without having to sacrifice serious code reviews too.
mort962 hours ago
You don't give up on line-by-line review just because the human is getting better either, and senior engineers want other people to do line by line review on their own code. It's not a matter of how good or bad the person or program generating the code is.
stillpointlab2 hours ago
As a senior engineer that is struggling to give up line-by-line reviews, I agree with your take.
I've spent literal decades where one of the most valuable practices has been code reviews, for many dimensions. It is one of the best ways to ensure quality production releases. It is one of the best ways to transfer skill to junior engineers. It increases tribal knowledge throughout the engineering org by exposing others to systems they may not be working in. The number of benefits to a traditional human-centric engineering team is hard to overstate.
But I'm starting to feel that instead of starting at one extreme (heavy handed reviews) and moving towards less review, it probably makes more sense to start at the other extreme (no review at all) and move towards a brand new practice tailored for the new agentic reality.
It is looking increasingly likely that we don't need to modify code review for the agentic era, we need some completely new practice that hasn't yet been invented.
alchemisman hour ago
Perhaps spec review in the custom of code review - it can even be via PR - so there is a bottleneck before anything is generated, instead of after. Cheap-to-produce code maybe isn't worth understanding line-by-line anymore.
stillpointlaban hour ago
I think spec review, which is definitely valuable, solves a different problem. One question to ask is "are we building the right thing", which a spec review definitely helps to answer.
But another question is "did we build what we planned, and did we build it to a high quality". Code review partially answered that question. Adversarial review is the closest we have to that in the automated LLM world, but I feel we need something better.
alchemism41 minutes ago
In the sense that ai-engineering specs (ie an elaborate prompt with skills etc.) can be said to be compiled into code language x maybe.....the spec is the new code?
VeninVidiaViciian hour ago
It's really about hamstringing the AIs so they can't write crap. Writing code is not a problem anymore, so anyone with an idea can write a script to do what they want. But if they try to connect two ideas together, now they have a data modeling problem. This is where everything seems to fail with AI coding (largely because the original author had the idea piecemeal).
devin2 hours ago
It's not code review that's slowing things down. It takes time to get the thing you want, and then you have to be reasonably sure that it's right anyway, or you risk shipping a piece of crap to production and tanking your own reputation. Even on teams that rubber stamp PRs I see people pushing drafts and waiting to merge until they feel comfortable with what they've vibed out.
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011000112 hours ago
I lean towards a hybrid review process where humans accept their limitations, focus what they're good on(higher level concepts and architecture of the proposed change), and let the LLMs do the rest.
Doing a line by line review as a human is silly now.
danjcan hour ago
We're going to need to start putting the month in brackets after the article title, not just the year!
geraneuman hour ago
> I think senior engineers find it very difficult to give up on line-by-line review, no matter how much better the agents have gotten.
Why do you feel like that? Agents have got better but better how? Looking at the frontier model output, I’d say the same myopic approach that causes long term issues without frequent course correction is still there.
swatcoderan hour ago
> shipping significantly faster
If you're right (and you probably are), we're in for a wild ride further down the quality death spiral.
The era of user telemetry and conversion tracking already decoupled product design from customer experience. No need to wait for customer's to articulate their experience or desires or for discerning analysts to amalgamate and ponder their opinions. The numbers tell you everything you need to know! Just throw 3000 pounds of spaghetti at the wall every month and wait to see what sticks.
But now you really were bottlenecked on engineering.
Only 3000 pounds of spaghetti per month? And throwing more bodies at it barely even makes a difference? Oof.
Of course the solution is to just flush pureed spaghetti-slop through the hose as fast as we can. Brilliant!
What could wrong? The users are sure to love it. We'll know because they keep clicking. That's how they tell us the truth, even as every forum fills with louder and louder complaints!
Terr_40 minutes ago
"The users-only forum for complaints about authentication errors is completely empty, therefore everything is working perfectly."
hajile2 hours ago
The study was updated in August 2026.
socializeran hour ago
> I think if there is a major change in code review culture, it's not going to happen first in established engineering teams. It'll happen in startups that adopt a no-human-review policy from jump and then maintain it as they mature.
I've been hearing this for more than a year. But if these startups are all moving at superhuman speed, a month instead of a year from idea to a shipping product, where are the products? Every time I ask that, people talk about the amazing velocity gains they experience for the thing they are about to ship. It never does, unless we count throwaway hobby projects at GitHub - by that metric, AI is adding a lot of software. And I guess never-downloaded slop-games on mobile app stores.
But if you actually go shopping for consumer or enterprise software that's camera-ready, the landscape is basically the same as in 2022.
tored2 hours ago
You have to classify each code review based on what it changes and decide how to handle it, agent review and/or human review. You can have an agent do that.
jimbokunan hour ago
What could possibly go wrong?
bcrosby952 hours ago
My experience with prototyping games is that you need very strong human driven guidance and review in the beginning, then you can increasingly take your hands off the wheel.
If you take it off too early you end up with shit and will spend weeks fixing all these baked bad assumptions your project is built on top of. I spent weeks fixing some of this shit then the LLM revived a not insignificant portion of it in a later change because it got "confused" (its words) because some of the comments it previously made were left around.
risyachka3 hours ago
I think non-senior engineers don’t realize just how much of a burden is barely reviewed ai generated code.
I’ve seen a few projects that heavily rely on ai with not very good (though senior) devs driving it - and its a mess. Not the code. The resulting product. Code is actually sound as ai is pretty good now.
All because ai does code reviews and dump decisions go into prod
nharziroan hour ago
can you be more specific. If the code is not a mess, how is the resulting product a mess?
wrg32786an hour ago
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iwontberude3 hours ago
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dominotw3 hours ago
> I think senior engineers find it very difficult to give up on line-by-line review
i am pretty senior. I hate code reviews so much. They are so boring, easily the most tedious part of my job. Its such a chore. Who is clinging to line-by-line review. Ppl dont really give that much about their employers.
datsci_est_20152 hours ago
You don’t sound very senior.
Code review isn’t a quality gate, it’s a way to maintain shared understanding of a codebase.
Throwing out code review is equivalent to throwing your hands up and saying you don’t need to understand anything about what your code is doing in its black box.
I don’t think anyone on this forum is half as smart as they think they are, especially in terms of systems engineering a black box solution. Myself included. Someone needs to understand what’s going on inside the Widget Factory until we have full Artificial General Intelligence.
Hamukoan hour ago
>Throwing out code review is equivalent to throwing your hands up and saying you don’t need to understand anything about what your code is doing in its black box.
I think that is what the C-suite is currently wanting out of our engineers. Prompt, don't write, maybe read a bit, don't stop, ship, ship, ship.
Terr_37 minutes ago
This will vary by company focus and size, but sometimes the C-suite just doesn't want to believe that software-engineering has important overlap with business-analysis or product-design.
jimbokunan hour ago
So you’re not writing the code, and you’re not reviewing the code…
What exactly would you say it is you do around here?
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jghn2 hours ago
I initially pivoted to fully automated code reviews, sometimes with a brief skim of things. I've been shifting back to mostly manual review. In the background I'll also run some agentic scans, and once I'm done I'll look to see what the agents had to say. And then I go back in by hand armed with that knowledge and verify it & come to my own conclusion.
Why? Because I started to run into way too many AI generated messes in codebases. The agents are really good at some things and complete ass at others.
0x20cowboy2 hours ago
> Who is clinging to line-by-line review.
It really depends on the context. A react button background color - meh - the critical part of the backend where a new 300ms delay will cost the company millions then yeah.
keybrd-intrrpt2 hours ago
> the critical part of the backend where a new 300ms delay will cost the company millions then yeah.
If it is so critical, why don't we have tests and benchmarks for it?
Oh right, because "Greg the super-coder" never wrote any of this down and it lives in his head so he can be the arbiter of change.
It was toxic before agentic coding, it's still toxic now.
Document your systems. Add tests and benchmarks for what is important.
We've always known this, we have a dozen or more textbooks written about it. But we always gave it a pass because "Greg the super-coder" was producing more value than he was hurting.
That's no longer the case. Your best coder is now Opus or Astra
jimbokunan hour ago
Good thing you reviewed the PR so you could catch the gap in Greg’s documentation and force him to write it before approving his PR!
weakfishan hour ago
> Your best coder is now Opus or Astra
No, that's our _fastest_ coder, which is a different thing than _best_
Rudybega2 hours ago
> he critical part of the backend where a new 300ms delay will cost the company millions then yeah.
If a performance regression like this isn't caught by an automated testing suite, you have made a horrible mistake.
jimbokunan hour ago
Reviewing the PR gives you a chance to identify this gap in the performance regression suite.
alchemisman hour ago
The agent could also do that part while its still in draft. If the rigorous tests already exist of course.
dominotw2 hours ago
> new 300ms delay will cost the company millions
these might be 1% typically
sroerick2 hours ago
Absolutely. And also the idea that this is somehow the last bastion against introducing bugs? Maybe run a test
yonaguska2 hours ago
I hate code reviews, but I owe it to my coworkers that I know will read my PRs to review my own generated slop line by line. Most of these agents are still overly verbose and I'm in a situation where no, not every single edge case is relevant enough to warrant the additional loc or complexity introduced.
dyauspitran hour ago
Both Claud and Codex would run circles around 80% of the developers I’ve worked with through my 20 year long career. This whole code review thing is a hold over that probably won’t last six months.
blauditorean hour ago
Well, imagine racing car manufacturers competing on making better, faster engines. At some point engines are so strong that other parts become the limiting factors, such as tires for traction. Now someone invents superfuel, but cars are still only marginally faster because the additional engine power didn't change the bottom line much.
That's what's happening in software. We knew that coding is only a fraction of the overall work, and even completely automating it away won't increase productivity by an order of magnitude.
Yes, the job is changing, but only parts of it. High-level engineering best practices still apply even without the coding part. And there is no free lunch.
pjmorrisan hour ago
"The overall performance improvement gained by optimizing a single part of a system is limited by the fraction of time that the improved part is actually used" - Amdahl's Law
daveguy11 minutes ago
Or we could just recognize these llms crank out poorly architected bug infested slop. The coding work of these llms is just as garbage as all the other bland, flat, wtf writing they crank out with prose. Even worse because there's no logical mind behind the garbage. With bad human written code there was at least one human there thinking about it.
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jefftk2 hours ago
As is standard for academic papers, this is an attempt to describe the state of the world as of when they did the research. But then it takes time to write it up and get it out, after which newspapers report it as current events.
In this case, we're looking at a picture from 2025. The models involved in the main agent results were primarily Claude 3.5 through Sonnet 4.5, GPT-4.1 through GPT-5, and Gemini 2.5. And the paper's design means you're mostly looking at the very initial effects of deployment, before companies developed good review processes.
geraneuman hour ago
The study was updated twice with the last time on August 2026.
nilkn30 minutes ago
The data is still mostly 2025 and the 2026 data is mostly from the first few months, and most production deployments (at least in, say, the Fortune 500) lag the frontier by at least several more months (or much more). I suspect it's just not really possible for academic research at its conventional pace to offer an up-to-date perspective on this topic right now.
geraneum20 minutes ago
Do you have any references for the models deployed in any of these organizations?
> I suspect it's just not really possible for academic research
But we were told everything changed in fall-winter of 2025 and that when we got “real capable” agents/models. Whatever happened to that?
nilkn16 minutes ago
I have my own experience to go off of, but this can also be inferred easily. There are many large corporations still working on "digital transformation" from 10+ years ago. There's no way such companies have fully onboarded and integrated frontier AI agents throughout their workforces with high adoption. The paper itself reports low adoption even after conditioning on access.
Everything did change after late 2025, but there are tiers of usefulness. Late 2025/early 2026 was the first time agents became clearly useful for personal projects. That's distinct from immediately having economically valuable end-to-end autonomous workflows in teams of median talent, which many would suggest is the threshold we've just recently crossed.
omelletan hour ago
They've updated it for the agentic code era, and have found basically the same thing. Code can be created faster but that has moved the bottleneck to review.
bigstrat20033 minutes ago
> The models involved in the main agent results were primarily Claude 3.5 through Sonnet 4.5, GPT-4.1 through GPT-5, and Gemini 2.5.
What we have today is not meaningfully better than what we had a year ago, so that isn't relevant.
sroerick2 hours ago
Man, I'm probably going to expose my own inexperience here, but like, did anybody actually expect code reviews to catch and prevent bugs on a line by line basis? Like ever?
I never have operated this way. Code reviews were a basic sanity check, a chance to implement best practices, and a chance to teach these things to juniors.
If I was concerned about something breaking, I'd duscuss test coverage.
Was I doing it wrong this whole time??
cobbalan hour ago
I review code line by line and build a mental model of the software as I review it. I find plenty of important bugs that way. PRs are an opportunity to learn (both committer and reviewer), communicate, and improve the quality of code a team ships. Sadly, many people decline that opportunity for the sake of short-term velocity.
DanHulton2 hours ago
I’ve caught bugs in code reviews before, but I would agree that it’s probably not the most crucial thing you should strive to do with code reviews.
That said, I think I’ve done a tremendous amount of PREVENTING bugs from being introduced via code review. Caught all kinds of weird code patterns, duplication, wrong levels of abstraction, etc. Essentially, the kinds of places that bugs like to hide and grow in.
I still think that’s valuable, and it’s the kind of thing that models generally aren’t great at, to this day. It generally relies on having a large amount of context about the project and about what’s being solved, so if you wanted to do this via automated review, you maybe COULD, but it would probably get pretty expensive, especially on larger projects.
Terr_28 minutes ago
> Essentially, the kinds of places that bugs like to hide and grow in.
I like an ecological-framing, especially as systems get more complex.
Yes, I could hunt cockroaches all day, but it would be even better to have caught how the new wall was missing a metal screen over a low ventilation opening.
jesse_ashan hour ago
At another level, code reviews also give you the time to really think about what is being built and why. I've often come across looming architectural or strategic failures simply by having to stare at a bunch of code and wonder why it works a certain way. Same goes for writing the code by hand too, though it's harder to see past your own biases and ideas sometimes. I find code reviews deeply valuable for myself and my team.
mannyv37 minutes ago
The best code review process I've done are more like oral exams ie: the person walks through the changes and we listen as they describe it.
It's a good way to catch thinking errors, which are the insidious errors.
ang_cire2 hours ago
It was more important for giant C or fortran code bases. You will legit catch pointer errors or memory mgmt stuff, going line by line. Once Sun busted in with Java is when I really saw the shift to skim reviews. So much stuff is caught by compilers now, or SAST, that using dev time to find code smells is mostly a waste of their time. And it's not like the old way caught everything, it's just that the stuff we take for granted being caught by compilers or Sonarqube now, just used to get shipped to prod and cause abends and production support calls at 3am.
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keithnzan hour ago
It doesn't match my experience. We are producing more software, and being a lot more ambitious about the things we develop. The trick is mostly to do with getting good guidance in place and then you can spend a lot more time iterating the product itself. I spend a lot more time play testing the product now and trying different things / refining. However, there is a lot of previous work that's been done to create a huge amount of technical guidance on how to do things. Lots of things on Specification, Design/Architecture/Coding, Performance, Testing, QA testing, etc. I think getting all this guidance/tooling/process in place is critical to producing software.
some-guy37 minutes ago
I think it highly depends on what field you're in. Personal projects that I find useful in my everyday life? Churning them out like crazy. Enterprise software? It has slowed our productivity down to a halt--part of this is due to people not knowing how to use these tools, and the other part of it is the collective AI psychosis of our leadership (I work at a Fortune 500 software company).
jack_sunsetless8 minutes ago
Agree. There's more code, but what's the trade-off? Fewer people on the team understand what's actually in there, so there are more and more bugs. Of course the agent will happily fix each one, and break three other things on the way, because nobody stopped to ask why the code looked the way it did.
Feels like we're building legacy code at a record speed.
KumaBear2 hours ago
I’d strongly disagree with one aspect. Homemade personal use software has Definately skyrocketed. Projects I never thought I’d even have the time for are now possible.
ang_cire2 hours ago
Yes, I am literally inundated by cool new tools I've built that I never would have before.
I'm literally building a black-box client + server emulator for one of my favorite old MMOs, remotely, from a coffe shop in SF as I type this, on my laptop at home via Claude remote-control.
Insane.
sroerick2 hours ago
Organizations that use Jira have not reaped efficiency gains from AI, news at 11
jimbokunan hour ago
Where’s your data?
jimbokunan hour ago
Based on a sample size of one or…?
radlad3 hours ago
I'm noticing AI catching many bugs in code that previously went unnoticed. Some of them are important, and it's great to catch them early.
The other 11 items in the list of 12 would probably never be hit in practice, but now that you know, you have to sort out how to handle each (even if that just means documenting, filing, or ignoring: you have to understand each of the disparate 12 issues first.)
giancarlostoro3 hours ago
Before it was all coding on its own, I asked a model for bugs in a new project, saved me the 15 minutes of new web project I waste every time trying to remember obscure first time setup things you dont touch for years in under a minute.
I suspect theres a lot of hours saved that are otherwise wasted by devs when some simple thing throws off their implementation completely. Basically we cant measure the saved developer hours by LLMs because it could be literally anything.
daveguy6 minutes ago
This stuff is still 90% garbage hype. See also:
hyperpape2 hours ago
I read this paper several days ago, when my director shared it. Several things jumped out at me:
- the data is mostly from 2025 and earlier
- the baseline mean lines of code per month was 5017, the estimated increase was 1494 lines per worker-month
- the baseline is 5.34 PRs per month, and increased by 1.22
- the baseline mean for code review is 7.03 days
The second and third bullets are confirmation that this is old data. In late 2026, people aren't delivering 30% more lines of code. If people were just producing 30% more lines, they'd still be reading every line. My point isn't that "more lines is good". I'm worried about a few too many lines of code that no one reads. My point is that this shows the data is old.
For the latter, I'm a bit annoyed by using mean, median would be more valuable, but I think it's safe to say that the engineering culture was already pretty bad. If your average pull request sits for 7 days, you evidently don't care about shipping anything, and agents aren't going to change that.
uncivilized2 hours ago
You read the paper, saw that the stated collection dates ranged from January 2021 to March 2026, and are claiming the authors are lying?
hyperpape2 hours ago
If you’d asked reasonably, I might have noted the slight correction (I misremembered that data collection ended January 2026, not March).
But since you’re such a charmer, why did you read the word “mostly” then lie about me lying?
It’s unambiguously true that most of the data (including that on coding agents) is from 2025 and earlier.
uncivilized40 minutes ago
Mostly 2025 and before means mostly 2025 and before…
hyperpape32 minutes ago
Mostly, meaning “more than half”, or perhaps “noticeably more than half”, both of which are literally true.
Do we speak different versions of English or something? I’m genuinely past being annoyed, I don’t actually know why you think what I’m saying is false.
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joshheitzman2 hours ago
Any study that wants to say anything about the impact of coding agents on whether more software is being created or not can't limit itself to what firms are doing that create a footprint of "work events — including GitHub coding activity, Jira issues, and Google Calendar events".
This is software that would not existed without coding agents: https://fluximp.org
Sure its a coding agent itself, but I would never have tried to create it manually as I would have expected it to be too much work to see it through as solo dev. There were no issues created anywhere, no calendar events, and there is very little github activity (I primarily used Mercurial on a private server; git is just for distribution).
I started it with Kilo Code and after a couple of months it was purely self-modified and has been since then. I was a bit worried that it wouldn't work on Linux and I'd either have to use another agent or use it running on my Windows box to modify the code on my Linux box to get it working, but it just worked so the streak of being self-modified has continue.
I want to make an indie game and I'm working towards that with the project I'm using to benchmark FluxImp. My first job was as game dev and I took a shot at indie game dev 20 years ago (failed; not fun). Its something I had long written off as too time consuming to even start, but with coding agents I no longer feel that's true.
All of the stories about non-software engineers making small software that is useful to them also seems unlikely to generate the kind of footprint that lends itself to being easily studied.
forgotaccount32 hours ago
I don't see how AI coding agents are going to create 'more software' until the PO's and PM's of the world step back and let developer's communicate directly with the stakeholders. Or the PO's and PM's could cross-train on AI coding agents.
We are still being stressed to create all stories with such fidelity that 'any' developer can pick it up and implement it in the timeframe allowed for the size the story was given. When the story is written in that detail, we may as well copy it into an AI agent and have it implement it. But we can't do that, so we have people who have SME write up story's that sit in the backlog for 2 weeks until a developer can bring it in, so that they can spend a day implementing it (really 2 hours with 2 hours of meetings and 4 hours of video games) because the smallest pointing size we can give is 1 point and people aren't allowed to take on more than 8 points a sprint.
How can we expect things to get done faster when the team that reports work up to senior management put's such strict limitations on our throughput?
jimbokunan hour ago
What kind of professional would spend 4 hours of their time per day playing video games?
The true professionals spend those 4 hours making snarky Hacker News comments.
dingaling9112 hours ago
Listen man. Let me give you a tip.
Don't take it seriously.
Efficiency is not your job, until you can 1) solve it, 2) present the solved and implemented problem to senior leadership in one fell swoop.
Corporate America is a giant slush fund and this is how it keeps going.
Be grateful!
tene80i2 hours ago
I would be more concerned with playing video games half the day than whether the PMs are slowing you down by figuring out the requirements
timmmmmmay2 hours ago
I'm completely uninterested in the opinion of a video game journalist on what does and doesn't work well in writing software. The author knows about as much about writing code as he knows about performing heart surgery
cavemandaveman2 hours ago
Ars Technica in general has also been catering to their knee-jerk anti-AI audience. I used to find their comments section somewhat interesting but now it's the same old tired, outdated dunks on AI.
atleastoptimal2 hours ago
Yes, instead of reviewing 1,000 lines a day I now "review" 10,000 lines a day. My brain is not 10x faster, so either I spend 10x more time reviewing code, or I just opt to accept that AI is probably right based on the complexity of the problem. However I realize that if we just let the agents loose on the codebase, everything would speed up like 100x.
Invariably once certain AI models in certain domains reach "full automation" quality this will happen, until now the human eyeball bottleneck is holding a leash on millions of tireless superhuman coders who have just a few narrow but egregious contextual awareness issues.
gchamonlivean hour ago
There are many ways to say the same thing, that code throughput wasn't the only bottleneck, communication is by far the hardest, most brittle and time consuming part of software production.
We need to start becoming better writers, capable of expressing complex thoughts concisely and with technical precision. Software production has become a sibling field to linguistics, more than it already was.
ravenstine2 hours ago
Given what I've been able to accomplish with even just local models at home, and my experience at my day job, I imagine this has almost everything to do with the organizations themselves and less to do with using AI to build software.
NeumannGod2 hours ago
Wrong thing to index on. Always bet on the slope, not on points in the slope. Things will only get better and better and factor in that downward slope thought while taking actions and pick ones that are favorable. The folks who focus on a point in time will be left behind, period.
noahwardlow2 hours ago
Aside from other comments mentioning flaws and cutoff of study, anyone in the industry or even working on hobby products can say this conclusion is wrong.
skolos2 hours ago
My experience is that agents are decent in coding a feature, solving a bug - doing specific well defined task. They are very bad at judging UI/UX and user flows through app. Like really, really bad. They can quickly put together vibe coded app but make it usable takes a lot of extra manual work.
Did anyone solve this problem? Any good approaches?
2cynykyl2 hours ago
I confirm this diagnosis. The UIs are always clunky, disorganized, and kinda ugly. But they work well enough. I guess UIs are opinionated enough that we probably all customize them anyway. Maybe the agents know this so don't bother putting too much effort in? (Deep thought of the day: acquired)
the_sleaze_2 hours ago
LLMs generate more code yes.
I generate more beautiful code, yes.
But the longer the codebase survives the more hair and cruft it accumulates. My once beautiful logical paths get carved up by compounding requirements and edge cases.
That's what the AI was trained on. The end result - the hairy ball of wax that noone can look at sideways.
I often think of that whenever AI comes up with what I consider to be an irrational but plausible edge case.
jpurnellan hour ago
I've spent most of my time working on tools to keep my agents on track, and keep code legible. Where I'm probably most strict in the tooling is on documentation, which makes the code review much more manageable.
shonan hour ago
The title should include “IF you’re still tied to a traditional human-reviewed dev process” at the end.
The reality is that new apps and new companies are being built without the bottleneck, constantly now.
Look at the shipping speed of the frontier labs themselves. It’s all the evidence you need to know that this isn’t true.
tracerbulletx2 hours ago
They generate more software too. It's just organizations haven't adapted to remove the bottlenecks yet. I replaced so much software for my self and its better than all the alternatives I used to use. And there are tons of other people doing the same thing.
giancarlostoro3 hours ago
Maybe for some orgs, I know theres orgs out there where there is no such review only QA and unit testing.
a34729t2 hours ago
We got rid of end to end QA as head of engineering decided to "shift left" on automation.
xnx2 hours ago
The paper is from January, so the data is probably from 2025. Very unlikely anything in the paper is relevant now (if it ever was).
hajile2 hours ago
The paper was updated in August this year.
CharlieDigital2 hours ago
Along these lines: agents will write mountains of super repetitive test code, seemingly uninterested in refactoring it (without explicit instruction) to reduce redundancies.
In any non-trivial integration test scenario, it's easy to end up several times the LoC in tests compared to actual shipped code.
Second problem: different models, agents, and harnesses seem to have different tendencies and they tend to avoid touching code that is not their own unless explicitly instructed. What I mean by this: it will happily duplicate some helper method from another test file rather than pulling it out and reusing it, seemingly avoiding coupling (good kind in this case since model level changes should be propagated atomically).
Tests are where I see agents just spew absolute mountains of code.
japhyr2 hours ago
When people have gotten excited about having so many tests, I've asked them what their plan is when 500 of their 1000 test suddenly stop passing. I've always favored 50 tests I know are meaningful, where any failure is something to respond to, over 500 tests with a bunch of overlap and edge cases I'm not sure matter. But now people aren't even thinking about that, they're just letting the agents make all those decisions.
I think this approach will continue to work for some people and orgs, but others are going to hit walls where their agents can't manage the mountains anymore. It's going to be interesting to see how people and orgs respond when that happens.
CharlieDigital2 hours ago
> I've asked them what their plan is when 500 of their 1000 test suddenly stop passing
That's not a terrible thing; would indicate that some shared behavior is broken and -- assuming well structured code -- hopefully easy to isolate the behavior.Bigger problems to me are more practical: 1) large tests waste context both in and out, 2) large volume of tests waste CI cycles which are becoming the bottleneck.
mejutocoan hour ago
IMO the solution to too many tests is to encode more things in the type system. If you can encode constraints like the length of an array in the type system you know it is correct if it compiles, and that is one less run-time test to run.
StilesCrisis2 hours ago
Back up to the point where all the tests were passing, of course? Then debug.
mejutocoan hour ago
or git bisect until you get the exact commit that introduced it
crnkofe2 hours ago
Every senior I've ever worked with at some point embraced the idea of minimalism. Produce minimal changes with a minimal surface. Worked well at startups and especially well on large spaghetti legacy projects. Seeing all of a sudden now how suddenly number of kLocs, PRs, token maxxing, number of tasks in progress is again a metric with which non-engineers brag about on engineering conferences feels like the industry has reverted to some braindead pre-infant state. I guess all mistakes need to be relearned at every hype cycle.
CharlieDigital2 hours ago
This doesn't solve the issue with "too many tests", but one of my teams addressed this to some extent by writing "blueprints" for test scaffolding that specifically aims to surface the scenario under test.
https://github.com/zeeq-ai/zeeq-biome
Was initially hand written as part of our codebase before AI, just extracted it as MIT, OSS since there's no secret sauce here. But really cuts down on test verbosity and makes it much, much easier to read, review, and evaluate tests.
RomanPushkinan hour ago
How come? For example, "Brandon Thomas released Artcraft, a free, open-source suite of apps ... alternatives to the entire Adobe Creative Suite".
I checked and it looks and works great!
dingaling911an hour ago
That's pretty sick.
jimrandomh2 hours ago
This headline being in the present tense, while reporting on a data from 2025, makes it basically dishonest. 2026 AI coding agents bear little resemblance to 2025 AI coding agents, and early-2026 coding agents are not like like-2026 coding agents.
yipinwong2 hours ago
I take both approaches. just /yolo or /goal or measure twice and cut once.
yolo works when I need to focus on higher priority, and make sure things just work (though not "great").
For the latter, I use it for more like spec-driven fashion with HITL. Basically everytime it ffinishes a task, I review and then move on.
Both appraoches work. just make sure your yolo slop isn't bad and passes stuff.
LoC don't mean jack shit.
alexnewman3 hours ago
Maybe but I’d argue the frontier corps will self destruct via green annd product management enough to make this impractical. So far here’s how I see that going 1) can’t easily autopilot due to security. Ganna keep on prompting you into running weird shell commands 2) it’ll launch your code on weird Anthropic or ChatGPT sites behind a paywall 3) between the two of them it’ll Misalign the solution so it’s unusable
popkorenan hour ago
[flagged]
bionhoward2 hours ago
[dead]
bensyversonan hour ago
Counterpoint: https://getartcraft.com
I'd say that's "more software."
The paradigm shift is trusting the agents' code, and not reviewing it, the same way that an engineering manager does not read every line of every PR.
orphea39 minutes ago
The link is a piece of crap wrapped in candy packaging, able to fool anyone who couldn't be bothered to unwrap the candy. DOA slop. It has nothing to do with either art or craft. This is actually a perfect example why agents' code cannot be trusted.
bensyverson10 minutes ago
Have you downloaded and used any of the apps?
If you reject any software that used AI in its development as slop, I have bad news about the rest of your life.
jedberg2 hours ago
Way back in the day, everyone wrote assembly. Then things like C came around, which had to be compiled to assembly, and most people objected: "I don't want to be that far from what the CPU is doing!".
Each time we move up an abstraction layer, people object, saying that nothing will work right if we move up that high in the stack. Give it time. I'll bet in 5-10 years, almost no one will look at code anymore, except in special cases.
We still have people who write in assembly, we still have people who write in C, mostly for performance reasons. Because you still need to be close to the CPU to get that last bit of performance. But in most cases, it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter if the LLM makes bad code if it works and passes all the tests.
Granted, this is the first time we're going from deterministic to non-deterministic, but is it really? Large scale distributed systems are already non-deterministic. They create inputs and situations that programs aren't designed to handle all the time. What's a little more chaos? :)