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jader201
Taxi drivers rarely die of Alzheimer's theconversation.com

cortic5 hours ago

Taxi Drivers: The mean age at death is approximately 67.8 years.

General Population: in the same dataset, life expectancy averaged 74 years.

The average age at which patients are typically diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease is 79.

People in these jobs don't live long enough on average to get diagnosed, at the same rate. The same effect will happen in any job that lowers your life expectancy.

xvedejasan hour ago

And how would you control for the causal possibility that those who will eventually develop Alzheimer's early on might tend to have undetectable memory issues that prevent them from becoming taxi drivers in the first place? You can't control for profession, since that's behind the very claim itself.

cortican hour ago

Its even worse than that, i can imagine people with undiagnosed early Alzheimer's self selecting for car accidents and cardiac issues through additional stress of mental fatigue while their brain tried to compensate for loss of function.

So you have people self selecting out of the profession, self selecting for early death within the profession, and on top of that, a general life expectancy discrepancy that is near impossible to adjust for.

boelboelan hour ago

This is mentioned in the article as well.

harrall2 hours ago

The study accounts for that.

Delay your aging by using your brain a fuck ton, all the time, learning brand new things nowhere near anything you already know.

specproc3 hours ago

Studies typically use regression to account for stuff like that. CBA to look at the article, but I bet any money that's controlled for.

rf152 hours ago

> CBA to look at the article

then don't post

vlovich1232 hours ago

> After adjusting for age, sex, race, ethnicity and education, roughly 1 in 100 taxi and ambulance drivers died of Alzheimer’s, compared with 1 in 60 people overall.

So no indication they accounted for the expected lifespan of the profession.

danw19792 hours ago

Adjusting for age seems like an indication to me

_kulangan hour ago

Adjusting for sample/population age is the simplest interpretation of that

j452 hours ago

Seems like a fair point.

glitchc5 hours ago

They are likely studying individuals that retired without getting fatally stabbed or shot on the job.

stackskipton4 hours ago

It's not violence from the job but their job was generally bad for their health in other ways. Sitting all day without getting up and driving around with windows down getting all this UV.

Also, older ones were exposed to a ton of cigarette smoke.

minraws4 hours ago

Also road accidents.

boelboelan hour ago

I could imagine taxi drivers have fewer fatal/grave road accidents than the average person or at most slightly more. They tend to drive in cities, are more trained, can't drink or do drugs on the job. For London only 1 taxi driver has died in a traffic accident since 2020.

minraws35 minutes ago

Also Drivers are generally less likely to die in accidents in urban areas, on high ways it's different.

Pedestrians are a lot more at risk. So that's unsurprising that annually 1/2 taxi driver might be fatally injured in one.

But I would assume the ratio of other drivers to taxi drivers would be high enough that this number should be zero as well.

minraws39 minutes ago

If you drive more you are more likely to be in an accident, that's just how roads and accidents work.

Sure they might be better and per unit of time they drive they must have miniscule amount of accidents.

But if there's a 0.001% chance per hour driven, then over enough hours a few accidents are inevitable.

boelboel8 minutes ago

They don't just add more hours of driving they replace a small amount of risky hours for a lot of hours of low risk if they change location/job.

bastawhiz27 minutes ago

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that not even a double digit percentage of taxi drivers' careers are ended due to violent attacks. Taxi driver doesn't even appear in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics top 20 most dangerous jobs.

markdownan hour ago

That's like, almost all of them.

mito882 hours ago

survivorship bias

[deleted]2 hours agocollapsed

Barrin925 hours ago

As the paper points out that's accounted for in the analysis, because shockingly enough to most internet commentators researchers know that they need to control for confounding variables

https://www.bmj.com/content/387/bmj-2024-082194

jrflo4 hours ago

Always insane to me how people will just read the headline of an article and point out "flaws" based on what they assume the article says

cromka3 hours ago

People jump the gun to show their perceived intellectual superiority. Typically same kind of people are last to admit of a mistake.

Melatonic11 minutes ago

You actually read the link ?

Nasrudithan hour ago

They got trained to said assumptions by bad sensationalist 'science journalism'. Remember how power lines caused brain damage in children? Not through the magnetic fields or anything like that, but the lowered property values.

cromka4 hours ago

" (...) After adjusting for _age_, sex, race, ethnicity and education, roughly 1 in 100 taxi and ambulance drivers died of Alzheimer’s, compared with 1 in 60 people overall."

dinfinity3 hours ago

Yep.

"For each occupation, we first calculated the percentage of deaths due to Alzheimer’s disease and the mean age at death in years (ie, average life expectancy). We plotted the association between these two variables, with each observation reflecting a single occupation. The purpose of this analysis was to illustrate the need to account for the person’s age at death since the risk of Alzheimer’s disease rises with age and therefore Alzheimer’s mortality would naturally be lower in occupations with a lower life expectancy."

TacticalCoder5 hours ago

That's very interesting but why do taxi drivers have a job that lowers life expectancy? Is it because they're sitting too much? Or because they're inhaling CO from cars too much? Or staying inside (the car) too much? Or is it just stressful?

For from the look of it it doesn't look like an exceptionally hard job (btw a brother of mine did years of "VTC": "Vehicule de Tourisme avec Chauffeur", basically high-end taxis without the "taxi" logo).

apothegm11 minutes ago

It’s a very sedentary job, pretty much by definition.

id4 hours ago

Because it doesn't pay very well. Being affluent increases life expectancy.

inglor_cz2 hours ago

1. They are hardly in the bottom quintile, where the income effect is large enough that it could actually shave 7 years off their life. I'd expect nightly work, irregular sleep patterns, too much fast food and maybe a higher frequency of smoking to do their part.

2. The original study didn't just study taxi drivers, but also ambulance drivers. I doubt that their life expectancy is that much lower.

coldtea3 hours ago

>For from the look of it it doesn't look like an exceptionally hard job

Define "hard job". Carrying heavy objects?

wilburx35 hours ago

Getting stabbed in the neck by filthy street urchins.

smt882 hours ago

Probably not smart to post something like this on the same message board you’re using to get a job

coldtea3 hours ago

Ah, the typical cheap HN reaction to a paper, along with "correlation is not causation", and as usual, for things already factored in into it.

brandonmenc10 minutes ago

Hilarious, because accounting for this stuff is drilled into your head when you study the softer sciences (like psychology) even as an undergrad.

mr_mitm2 hours ago

Next up: "I didn't do a statistical analysis but the sample size seems small"

heckelson6 minutes ago

... in mice!

nuxi4 hours ago

De Niro is 82, no Alzheimer's. /s

sillyfluke2 hours ago

He was method acting, so I'll allow it.

Melatonic6 minutes ago

One of the first things to go with Alzheimer's is spacial mapping in the brain so this makes sense. Your exercising daily a part of the brain that is involved.

In addition there's the social component of driving - you may not always want to talk to a Taxi driver but many people do. And ambulance drivers are often socializing with their colleagues

Driving also has a mix of reaction time based skills and hand eye and hand foot coordination. Overall it's pretty complicated.

Writing this I'm realising the final "Turing" test for AI might actually be just replacing the average Taxi driver. Can it drive a car, choose a route dynamically based on day and traffic and weather, and have a conversation with a wide variety of people and topics all at the same time ?

Heliodex6 minutes ago

> Risk adjusted percentages and mortality odds ratios were adjusted for age at death, sex, race, ethnic group, and educational attainment using logistic regression.

Adjusting for educational attainment is an intriguing choice. If higher educational attainment were to decrease risk of Alzheimer's disease, wouldn't this adjustment optimise out the factor that they're looking for?

Otherwise very interesting results and conclusions. Also what's up with the outlying occupation on the left side of the 1st 2 charts on page 3: "Personal care and service workers, all other" with a mean age of death of 50.65?

walthamstow6 hours ago

> In one landmark 2000 study, neuroscientists compared the brains of licensed London taxi drivers with those of people who did not drive cabs.

Location is very important here. London cabbies have to pass The Knowledge which is an extremely difficult memory exam that only people with particular kind of brain can do.

neuralkoian hour ago

They have to memorize 25,000 streets. The test is no joke. [0]

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ur61kzXjvN8

graemep6 hours ago

The first study referenced is in the US, and across 443 occupations.

cromka3 hours ago

> that only people with particular kind of brain can do.

That's yours speculation, isn't it?Because if so, it would corroborate the same conclusion, i.e. if you exercise your memory regularly, you are less likely to develop Alzheimer's.

genxy4 hours ago

People who would pass The Knowledge test might already develop dementia at a much lower rate.

monster_truckan hour ago

They could also develop it at the exact same rate and mask it effectively. Had a very sharp family member who was completely lucid through all of dementia, it was like watching a tape rewind. Got to meet each decade's version of them over a couple of years. Towards the end they were completely normal

inglor_cz2 hours ago

Plausible, but then you'd expect to find the same effect in other people who passed similarly demanding tests once. For example in people who studied something geometry-heavy.

Also, The Knowledge Test is, IIRC, passed only once and then you do not have to retake it for the rest of your career.

If a test passed in your 20s or 30s predicted accurately a much lower incidence of Alzheimer's in your 60s, that would be a remarkably strong early signal. Not impossible, but worth extra scrutiny. For the vast majority of old age conditions, we cannot predict them so long in advance.

artisinal6 hours ago

Indeed. Elsewhere in the world taxi drivers just follow the GPS.

SoftTalker6 hours ago

We had taxis long before GPS.

When I was in my early 20s I had a job delivering pizza. I very quickly learned the delivery area, I knew pretty much every street and alleyway and shortcut to get from one place to another. Much smaller than London but I think the human brain is very good at remembering routes and where things are in an area, as this would have been an evolutionary advantage (go out hunting and be able to find your way back). No GPS, didn't even carry a map with me. We had a large map on the wall at the store, and if I had to deliver to a street I didn't recognize I'd find it on the map, see where it was relative to the streets I did know, and then I never had any problem finding places.

jerlaman hour ago

There weren't a lot of taxis outside of major cities. I think widespread GPS allows ridesharing apps like Uber and Lyft to exist in suburbs and other places where taxis weren't a thing before, because it dramatically lowers the bar.

OptionOfT6 hours ago

My 2019 car had the cardinal directions in the mirror (N, NE, E, ES, S etc). My 2025 does not anymore. I hate it. I think it helps to get that baseline of orientation, and then you look at the street numbers, and it all starts to come together.

toast02 hours ago

Suction cup compasses are ~ $10 on amazon if it bothers you. Won't be in the mirror though.

clickety_clack5 hours ago

Pretty much my only issue with CarPlay is that I can’t seem to set the map so that north is up. It turns everything into “third right ahead” instead of “this is just 2 blocks east of that coffee shop I was at last week”.

kccqzy2 hours ago

CarPlay is merely the technology of having your phone take over a screen in the vehicle. It’s not a mapping map. Plenty of mapping apps support north up.

But in any case, I found that if you want to remember routes, it is far better to study the route before you begin driving, and then not rely on CarPlay altogether. This gives you much higher awareness of street names and directions.

[deleted]3 hours agocollapsed

pryelluw6 hours ago

Same. First thing they had me buy was a map book with all the local neighborhoods. The map on the wall helped get shortcuts from others. This is where I learned the difference between the different kinds of shortcuts. Some saved time, others distance, and some even potholes. It was a fun time.

[deleted]3 hours agocollapsed

al_borland4 hours ago

I suspect GPS has made this much worse. I shining example was an Uber I got in Chicago, where GPS doesn't work well due to all the buildings. The guy drove around the same block 3 times, blindly following the GPS. It was infuriating.

SoftTalker4 hours ago

And Chicago is one of the easier cities to navigate, as it's almost entirely a grid.

walthamstow4 hours ago

Yeah I don't think grids are comparable to old world cities like London

BrandoElFollito4 hours ago

There is (or at least - was) a similar test for Paris taxi drivers. They needed among others to explain turn by turn the drive between two places indicated by the examiner.

Today this knowledge is arguably less useful.

[deleted]6 hours agocollapsed

jaypatelani6 minutes ago

Any studies on chess player and Alzheimer's?

chuckadams7 hours ago

The ones that do stopped being taxi drivers.

cobertos6 hours ago

True, though the article does also mention another study not based on taxi drivers, but just living in high spatial complexity ZIP codes puts you at a lower risk.

> Research on cognitive maps points toward the same conclusion as the study on taxi drivers. In 2023, researchers ran a machine learning model on more than 22,500 people in a national dataset and were able to predict which ZIP codes had higher rates of Alzheimer’s with 84% accuracy based on how complex the environment was. Those living in spatially complex surroundings – the kind that force active map building, such as dense street networks with numerous intersections, diverse points of interest and landmarks, and multiple path options – were less likely to develop Alzheimer’s.

david-gpu4 hours ago

A dense street network with complex intersections also means living in walkable urban cores vs car-centric suburbs.

Palomides5 hours ago

or there's a million confounding factors around people living in dense cities versus rural areas

smolder5 hours ago

I know an 80 year old who was a commercial truck driver for decades and still has a strong mental map for a pretty vast area. Anecdata, but I find it interesting.

cjbgkagh7 hours ago

I would assume that the task of being a taxi driver would act as a near constant test for Alzheimer’s, would be interesting to do GWAS studies on older taxi drivers and compare against taxi drivers who quit earlier in their careers.

mattlondon6 hours ago

I guessed the probably died in a car accident or of something related to pollution exposure or being sedentary their entire adult lives.

philwelch28 minutes ago

I was going to make the same wisecrack, but in seriousness I assume they're counting elderly retired taxi drivers as taxi drivers even if they stopped working years before their deaths.

don_esteban6 hours ago

Yeah, that was the first thing that comes to mind.

And the second thing: What about modern taxi drivers that rely almost exclusively on GPS?

YmiYugy5 hours ago

I find the title highly misleading. The actual claim is a 40% lower chance (1 in 100 as opposed to 1 in 60) for taxi and ambulance drivers when compared to the average. That’s a big drop but the title implies that Alzheimer’s is rare in taxi drivers specifically and I don’t think the difference warrants that claim whatsoever.

amelius7 hours ago

yfontana2 hours ago

Something interesting that the original study looked at, but isn't mentioned in the linked article: this effect was not observed for non-Alzheimer's dementia deaths. There seems to be something specific to spatial reasoning and Alzheimer's.

pamaan hour ago

Alzheimers has a very long development stage compared to almost all other dementia (Lewis body also has a long timeline, but none of the other forms has anywhere close to the known length for Alzheimer’s disease). The original study article has no causal analysis, so a simple explanation is that super early Alzheimers symptoms (possibly even undetectable ones outside the context of intense taxi driving) drives people to abandon their taxi- or ambulance-driving jobs and seek other forms of employment.

[deleted]an hour agocollapsed

lambdaone2 hours ago

I wonder if the same is also true of other high-spatial-complexity activities like rock climbing and professional dancing? (Exercise level would of course be a counfounding varable to be eliminated in these cases.)

Havoc7 hours ago

Seems strange to me that a specific type of thinking could influence something where most causes being investigated are physical

teeray6 hours ago

Unless the arrow of causality is the other way: those that would tend to develop memory problems do not become or remain as Taxi drivers.

jvanderbot6 hours ago

Right, so we're speedrunning the studies here. Best to just stopover on TFA and see what they found.

For example, airline pilots do not have a reduced level of alzheimers deaths, and that _certainly_ is not a place where you can coast with dementia.

And taxi drivers have _increasing_ anti-Alzheimer signals - with time, the areas that are known to diminish grow _more_.

jkahrs5956 hours ago

Not strange when you realize thinking is also physical.

cesarvarela6 hours ago

Wouldn’t thinking be like exercise for the mind? And we know what happens to people that don’t exercise

toomuchtodo7 hours ago

Perhaps specific types of thinking cause somewhat sustained brain activity during waking hours that mitigates adverse physical changes leading to Alzheimer’s.

The opposite of this is how sleep and unconsciousness allows the brain to perform cerebrospinal fluid transfer based maintenance routines via the glymphatic system, and why sleep is important to neural health.

https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-uncover-h...

wyzer22 minutes ago

before or after massive use of navigation apps?

al_borland6 hours ago

My grandfather was a taxi driver and delivery driver for many years. He made it to 93 and I don't recall him dealing with any cognitive decline. He used to tell me different routes to get to a stadium that was closed before I was even born.

id4 hours ago

n=1

layer84 hours ago

++n

estetlinusan hour ago

> London cabbies must memorize more than 25,000 streets within a 6-mile radius of Charing Cross, a challenge known as “The Knowledge” that takes three to four years.

What the hell. I passed all the test for driving cabs in Stockholm, Sweden. I had to memorize 20 regions in the city. I wonder if this requirement applies to all taxi drivers, including Uber.

petercooper7 minutes ago

No, it’s a licensed black cab thing. London has had mini cabs as well for many decades who didn’t need to study anything and were not even licensed till about 20 years ago. However, their downside is they have to be prebooked and can not be hailed on the street. Apps count as booking and not hailing I guess.

philwelch21 minutes ago

It seems common for taxi drivers to form a government-sanctioned cartel in order to limit the amount of competition. In the US this traditionally took the form of local taxi medallion systems, where there was a hard quota on how many taxis could be in the city. London's barrier to entry, unlike ours, at least guarantees a level of competence, even if it's excessive.

At least in the US, Uber and Lyft basically went around the taxi cartels. I'd assume that it wasn't easy for that to happen in Sweden though.

fitsumbelay4 hours ago

First rule of attentioneering - If it bleeds, it ledes

Second rule - Got edge case? Got headline!

arielweisberg7 hours ago

Can video games provide similar benefits?

jader201op7 hours ago

I’m sure Crazy Taxi provides the same benefits! :)

moduspol4 hours ago

If you can survive the high blood pressure!

bloomca6 hours ago

The thing about taxi drivers is that they have something at stake, while video games have no fail state effectively. You can be punished in-game, but overall it does not matter.

Also video games in general are pretty derivative, so playing the same genre probably won't help much after a certain point. But playing different ones can be very helpful, I imagine (same with other mediums).

wavemode5 hours ago

Yeah but, Taxi drivers usually don't hop around from place to place. They work in a specific metro area.

bloomca5 hours ago

I assume there is enough variation to be aware of -- seasons change, constructions, car crashes, so you need to alter the route a bit. Today you have the maps with navigation, but I assume you still need to be quite aware on where to park, where is the best entrance to some places, etc. So you basically need to keep some fresh info on top of your mind.

dragontamer5 hours ago

Maybe when played at a high level. But too many games are too casual without much mental effort.

I mean, they should be. Games are for fun, not for work.

OutOfHere3 hours ago

Eating eggs actually lowers the risk of Alzheimers.

tokai7 hours ago

Taxi driver also live shorter lives than average, which would fit with lower levels of alzheimers. But interesting link nonetheless.

kelnos2 hours ago

Age and life expectancy was controlled for in the study.

bpodgursky6 hours ago

Guys... Alzheimer's is 60-80% heritable, and driven largely by APOE genotype. No, you cannot get out of it with One Quick Trick. We have to find therapeutics to make real progress here.

This kind of misdirection is not helpful to the research community, or encouraging politicians to fund effective projects. Everyone WANTS a quick lifestyle change and will latch onto these things, but this is a real biological disease that needs real molecular fixes. Sorry, it's just how it is.

jmcgough6 hours ago

Half of people with Alzheimer's carry at least one APOE ε4 allele. However, a full quarter of the population carries that mutation, and most carriers never go on to develop Alzheimer's. Lifestyle matters a lot here.

This kind of misdirection is not helpful for educating people on changes they can make now to reduce their risk, rather than waiting for a silver bullet. Alzheimer's research is well-funded in the US as the octogenarians running our congress are personally invested in it.

detourdog4 hours ago

My understanding is that there are forms of dementia more tied to genetics than "Alzheimer's". One that has links to genetics is Frontal temporal Dementia.

bpodgursky5 hours ago

To the extent that lifestyle helps, which is not zero, you need to exercise. "Become a cabbie" is NOT an intervention that is going to help whatsoever.

yfontana2 hours ago

> "Become a cabbie" is NOT an intervention that is going to help whatsoever.

How about promoting spatial awareness and reasoning exercises (which is the actual suggestion of the article)?

kelnos2 hours ago

I don't think "become a taxi driver" is a "quick lifestyle change".

Studies like this are useful inasmuch as they help us understand a disease more fully. Not sure what you mean by "misdirection"; the study's methodology seems sound?

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