saaaaaam10 hours ago
“Time-locked models don't roleplay; they embody their training data. Ranke-4B-1913 doesn't know about WWI because WWI hasn't happened in its textual universe. It can be surprised by your questions in ways modern LLMs cannot.”
“Modern LLMs suffer from hindsight contamination. GPT-5 knows how the story ends—WWI, the League's failure, the Spanish flu.”
This is really fascinating. As someone who reads a lot of history and historical fiction I think this is really intriguing. Imagine having a conversation with someone genuinely from the period, where they don’t know the “end of the story”.
jscyc10 hours ago
When you put it that way it reminds me of the Severn/Keats character in the Hyperion Cantos. Far-future AIs reconstruct historical figures from their writings in an attempt to gain philosophical insights.
bikeshaving8 hours ago
This isn’t science fiction anymore. CIA is using chatbot simulations of world leaders to inform analysts. https://archive.ph/9KxkJ
ghurtado4 hours ago
We're literally running out of science fiction topics faster than we can create new ones
If I started a list with the things that were comically sci Fi when I was a kid, and are a reality today, I'd be here until next Tuesday.
KingMob2 hours ago
Time to create the Torment Nexus, I guess
varjag2 hours ago
There's a thriving startup scene in that direction.
BiteCode_devan hour ago
Wasn't that the elevator pitch for Palentir?
Still can't believe people buy their stock, given that they are the closest thing to a James Bond villain, just because it goes up.
I mean, they are literally called "the stuff Sauron uses to control his evil forces". It's so on the nose it reads like an anime plot.
kbrkbr24 minutes ago
Stock buying as a political or ethical statement is not much of a thing. For one the stocks will still be bought by persons with less strung opinions, and secondly it does not lend itself well to virtue signaling.
notarobot12335 minutes ago
To the proud contrarian, "the empire did nothing wrong". Maybe Sci-fi has actually played a role in the "memetic desire" of some of the titans of tech who are trying to bring about these worlds more-or-less intentionally. I guess it's not as much of a dystopia if you're on top and its not evil if you think of it as inevitable anyway.
UltraSane2 hours ago
Not at all, you just need to read different scifi. I suggest Greg Egan and Stephen Baxter and Derek Künsken and The Quantum Thief series
catlifeonmars6 hours ago
How is this different than chatbots cosplaying?
9dev3 hours ago
They get to wear Raybans and a fancy badge doing it?
idiotsecant4 hours ago
Zero percent chance this is anything other than laughably bad. The fact that they're trotting it out in front of the press like a double spaced book report only reinforces this theory. It's a transparent attempt by someone at the CIA to be able to say they're using AI in a meeting with their bosses.
hn_go_brrrrr4 hours ago
I wonder if it's an attempt to get foreign counterparts to waste time and energy on something the CIA knows is a dead end.
DonHopkinsan hour ago
Unless the world leaders they're simulating are laughably bad and tend to repeat themselves and hallucinate, like Trump. Who knows, maybe a chatbot trained with all the classified documents he stole and all his twitter and truth social posts wrote his tweet about Ron Reiner, and he's actually sleeping at 3:00 AM instead of sitting on the toilet tweeting in upper case.
UltraSane2 hours ago
I predict very rich people will pay to have LLMs created based on their personalities.
fragmedean hour ago
As an ego thing, obviously, but if we think about it a bit more, it makes sense for busy people. If you're the point person for a project, and it's a large project, people don't read documentation. The number of "quick questions" you get will soon overwhelm a person to the point that they simply have to start ignoring people. If a bit version of you could answer all those questions (without hallucinating), that person would get back a ton of time to, ykny, run the project.
otabdeveloper43 hours ago
Oh. That explains a lot about USA's foreign policy, actually. (Lmao)
NuclearPM7 hours ago
[flagged]
BoredPositron2 hours ago
I call bullshit because of tone and grammar. Share the chat.
DonHopkinsan hour ago
Once there was Fake News.
Now there is Fake ChatGPT.
ghurtado4 hours ago
Depending on which prompt you used, and the training cutoff, this could be anywhere from completely unremarkable to somewhat interesting.
A4ET8a8uTh0_v25 hours ago
Interesting. Would you be ok disclosing the following:
- Are you ( edit: on a ) paid version? - If paid, which model you used? - Can you share exact prompt?
I am genuinely asking for myself. I have never received an answer this direct, but I accept there is a level of variability.
abrookewood5 hours ago
This is such a ridiculously good series. If you haven't read it yet, I thoroughly recommend it.
culi7 hours ago
I used to follow this blog — I believe it was somehow associated with Slate Star Codex? — anyways, I remember the author used to do these experiments on themselves where they spent a week or two only reading newspapers/media from a specific point in time and then wrote a blog about their experiences/takeaways
On that same note, there was this great YouTube series called The Great War. It spanned from 2014-2018 (100 years after WW1) and followed WW1 developments week by week.
tyre7 hours ago
The Great War series is phenomenal. A truly impressive project.
verve_rat6 hours ago
The people that did the Great War series (at least some of them, I believe there was a little bit of a falling out) went on to do a WWII version on the World War II channel: https://youtube.com/@worldwartwo
They are currently in the middle of a Korean War version: https://youtube.com/@thekoreanwarbyindyneidell
ghurtado4 hours ago
This might just be the closest we get to a time machine for some time. Or maybe ever.
Every "King Arthur travels to the year 2000" kinda script is now something that writes itself.
> Imagine having a conversation with someone genuinely from the period,
Imagine not just someone, but Aristotle or Leonardo or Kant!
observationist10 hours ago
This is definitely fascinating - being able to do AI brain surgery, and selectively tuning its knowledge and priors, you'd be able to create awesome and terrifying simulations.
eek21218 hours ago
Respectfully, LLMs are nothing like a brain, and I discourage comparisons between the two, because beyond a complete difference in the way they operate, a brain can innovate, and as of this moment, an LLM cannot because it relies on previously available information.
LLMs are just seemingly intelligent autocomplete engines, and until they figure a way to stop the hallucinations, they aren't great either.
Every piece of code a developer churns out using LLMs will be built from previous code that other developers have written (including both strengths and weaknesses, btw). Every paragraph you ask it to write in a summary? Same. Every single other problem? Same. Ask it to generate a summary of a document? Don't trust it here either. [Note, expect cyber-attacks later on regarding this scenario, it is beginning to happen -- documents made intentionally obtuse to fool an LLM into hallucinating about the document, which leads to someone signing a contract, conning the person out of millions].
If you ask an LLM to solve something no human has, you'll get a fabrication, which has fooled quite a few folks and caused them to jeopardize their career (lawyers, etc) which is why I am posting this.
libraryofbabel8 hours ago
This is the 2023 take on LLMs. It still gets repeated a lot. But it doesn’t really hold up anymore - it’s more complicated than that. Don’t let some factoid about how they are pretrained on autocomplete-like next token prediction fool you into thinking you understand what is going on in that trillion parameter neural network.
Sure, LLMs do not think like humans and they may not have human-level creativity. Sometimes they hallucinate. But they can absolutely solve new problems that aren’t in their training set, e.g. some rather difficult problems on the last Mathematical Olympiad. They don’t just regurgitate remixes of their training data. If you don’t believe this, you really need to spend more time with the latest SotA models like Opus 4.5 or Gemini 3.
Nontrivial emergent behavior is a thing. It will only get more impressive. That doesn’t make LLMs like humans (and we shouldn’t anthropomorphize them) but they are not “autocomplete on steroids” anymore either.
root_axis6 hours ago
> Don’t let some factoid about how they are pretrained on autocomplete-like next token prediction fool you into thinking you understand what is going on in that trillion parameter neural network.
This is just an appeal to complexity, not a rebuttal to the critique of likening an LLM to a human brain.
> they are not “autocomplete on steroids” anymore either.
Yes, they are. The steroids are just even more powerful. By refining training data quality, increasing parameter size, and increasing context length we can squeeze more utility out of LLMs than ever before, but ultimately, Opus 4.5 is the same thing as GPT2, it's only that coherence lasts a few pages rather than a few sentences.
baq4 hours ago
First, this is completely ignoring text diffusion and nano banana.
Second, to autocomplete the name of the killer in a detective book outside of the training set requires following and at least some understanding of the plot.
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int_19han hour ago
> ultimately, Opus 4.5 is the same thing as GPT2, it's only that coherence lasts a few pages rather than a few sentences.
This tells me that you haven't really used Opus 4.5 at all.
dash25 hours ago
This would be true if all training were based on sentence completion. But training involving RLHF and RLAIF is increasingly important, isn't it?
root_axis4 hours ago
Reinforcement learning is a technique for adjusting weights, but it does not alter the architecture of the model. No matter how much RL you do, you still retain all the fundamental limitations of next-token prediction (e.g. context exhaustion, hallucinations, prompt injection vulnerability etc)
A4ET8a8uTh0_v25 hours ago
But.. and I am not asking it for giggles, does it mean humans are giant autocomplete machines?
root_axis4 hours ago
Not at all. Why would it?
A4ET8a8uTh0_v24 hours ago
Call it a.. thought experiment about the question of scale.
root_axis4 hours ago
I'm not exactly sure what you mean. Could you please elaborate further?
a1j9o944 hours ago
Not the person you're responding to, but I think there's a non trivial argument to make that our thoughts are just auto complete. What is the next most likely word based on what you're seeing. Ever watched a movie and guessed the plot? Or read a comment and know where it was going to go by the end?
And I know not everyone thinks in a literal stream of words all the time (I do) but I would argue that those people's brains are just using a different "token"
root_axis3 hours ago
There's no evidence for it, nor any explanation for why it should be the case from a biological perspective. Tokens are an artifact of computer science that have no reason to exist inside humans. Human minds don't need a discrete dictionary of reality in order to model it.
Prior to LLMs, there was never any suggestion that thoughts work like autocomplete, but now people are working backwards from that conclusion based on metaphorical parallels.
LiKao2 hours ago
There actually was quite a lot of suggestion that thoughts work like autocomplete. A lot of it was just considered niche, e.g. because the mathematical formalisms were beyond what most psychologist or even cognitive scientists would deem usefull.
Predictive coding theory was formalized back around 2010 and traces it roots up to theories by Helmholtz from 1860.
Predictive coding theory postulates that our brains are just very strong prediction machines, with multiple layers of predictive machinery, each predicting the next.
red75prime2 hours ago
There are so many theories regarding human cognition that you can certainly find something that is close to "autocomplete". A Hopfield network, for example.
Roots of predictive coding theory extend back to 1860s.
Natalia Bekhtereva was writing about compact concept representations in the brain akin to tokens.
9dev3 hours ago
You, and OP, are taking an analogy way too far. Yes, humans have the mental capability to predict words similar to autocomplete, but obviously this is just one out of a myriad of mental capabilities typical humans have, which work regardless of text. You can predict where a ball will go if you throw it, you can reason about gravity, and so much more. It’s not just apples to oranges, not even apples to boats, it’s apples to intersubjective realities.
LiKao2 hours ago
Look up predictive coding theory. According to that theory, what our brain does is in fact just autocomplete.
However, what it is doing is layered autocomplete on itself. I.e. one part is trying to predict what the other part will be producing and training itself on this kind of prediction.
What emerges from this layered level of autocompletes is what we call thought.
NiloCK4 hours ago
First: a selection mechanism is just a selection mechanism, and it shouldn't confuse the observation of an emergent, tangential capabilities.
Probably you believe that humans have something called intelligence, but the pressure that produced it - the likelihood of specific genetic material to replicate - it is much more tangential to intelligence than next-token-prediction.
I doubt many alien civilizations would look at us and say "not intelligent - they're just genetic information replication on steroids".
Second: modern models also under go a ton of post-training now. RLHF, mechanized fine-tuning on specific use cases, etc etc. It's just not correct that token-prediction loss function is "the whole thing".
root_axis3 hours ago
> First: a selection mechanism is just a selection mechanism, and it shouldn't confuse the observation of an emergent, tangential capabilities.
Invoking terms like "selection mechanism" is begging the question because it implicitly likens next-token-prediction training to natural selection, but in reality the two are so fundamentally different that the analogy only has metaphorical meaning. Even at a conceptual level, gradient descent gradually honing in on a known target is comically trivial compared to the blind filter of natural selection sorting out the chaos of chemical biology. It's like comparing legos to DNA.
> Second: modern models also under go a ton of post-training now. RLHF, mechanized fine-tuning on specific use cases, etc etc. It's just not correct that token-prediction loss function is "the whole thing".
RL is still token prediction, it's just a technique for adjusting the weights to align with predictions that you can't model a loss function for in per-training. When RL rewards good output, it's increasing the statistical strength of the model for an arbitrary purpose, but ultimately what is achieved is still a brute force quadratic lookup for every token in the context.
deadbolt7 hours ago
As someone who still might have a '2023 take on LLMs', even though I use them often at work, where would you recommend I look to learn more about what a '2025 LLM' is, and how they operate differently?
krackers3 hours ago
Papers on mechanistic interpratability and representation engineering, e.g. from Anthropic would be a good start.
otabdeveloper42 hours ago
Don't bother. This bubble will pop in two years, you don't want to look back on your old comments in shame in three.
otabdeveloper42 hours ago
> it’s more complicated than that.
No it isn't.
> ...fool you into thinking you understand what is going on in that trillion parameter neural network.
It's just matrix multiplication and logistic regression, nothing more.
dingnuts7 hours ago
[dead]
ada19815 hours ago
Are you sure about this?
LLMs are like a topographic map of language.
If you have 2 known mountains (domains of knowledge) you can likely predict there is a valley between them, even if you haven’t been there.
I think LLMs can approximate language topography based on known surrounding features so to speak, and that can produce novel information that would be similar to insight or innovation.
I’ve seen this in our lab, or at least, I think I have.
Curious how you see it.
DonHopkinsan hour ago
> LLMs are just seemingly intelligent autocomplete engines
BINGO!
(I just won a stuffed animal prize with my AI Skeptic Thought-Terminating Cliché BINGO Card!)
Sorry. Carry on.
Sieyk4 hours ago
I was going to say the same thing. Its really hard to explain the concept of "convincing but undoubtedly pretending", yet they captured that concept so beautifully here.
Davidbrcz2 hours ago
That's some Westworld level of discussion
xg1510 hours ago
"...what do you mean, 'World War One?'"
tejohnso9 hours ago
I remember reading a children's book when I was young and the fact that people used the phrase "World War One" rather than "The Great War" was a clue to the reader that events were taking place in a certain time period. Never forgot that for some reason.
I failed to catch the clue, btw.
bradfitz8 hours ago
I seem to recall reading that as a kid too, but I can't find it now. I keep finding references to "Encyclopedia Brown, Boy Detective" about a Civil War sword being fake (instead of a Great War one), but with the same plot I'd remembered.
JuniperMesos8 hours ago
The Encyclopedia Brown story I remember reading as a kid involved a Civil War era sword with an inscription saying it was given on the occasion of the First Battle of Bull Run. The clues that the sword was a modern fake were the phrasing "First Battle of Bull Run", but also that the sword was gifted on the Confederate side, and the Confederates would've called the battle "Manassas Junction".
The wikipedia article https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Battle_of_Bull_Run says the Confederate name was "First Manassas" (I might be misremembering exactly what this book I read as a child said). Also I'm pretty sure it was specifically "Encyclopedia Brown Solves Them All" that this mystery appeared in. If someone has a copy of the book or cares to dig it up, they could confirm my memory.
michaericalribo8 hours ago
Can confirm, it was an Encyclopedia Brown book and it was World War One vs the Great War that gave away the sword as a counterfeit!
wat100005 hours ago
It wouldn’t be totally implausible to use that phrase between the wars. The name “the First World War” was used as early as 1920, although not very common.
BeefySwain8 hours ago
Pendragon?
gaius_baltar9 hours ago
> "...what do you mean, 'World War One?'"
Oh sorry, spoilers.
(Hell, I miss Capaldi)
inferiorhuman9 hours ago
… what do you mean, an internet where everything wasn't hidden behind anti-bot captchas?
rcpt5 hours ago
Watching a modern LLM chat with this would be fun.
anotherpaulg6 hours ago
It would be interesting to see how hard it would be to walk these models towards general relativity and quantum mechanics.
Einstein’s paper “On the Electrodynamics of Moving Bodies” with special relativity was published in 1905. His work on general relativity was published 10 years later in 1915. The earliest knowledge cuttoff of these models is 1913, in between the relativity papers.
The knowledge cutoffs are also right in the middle of the early days of quantum mechanics, as various idiosyncratic experimental results were being rolled up into a coherent theory.
mlinksva3 hours ago
Different cutoff but similar question thrown out in https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton#:~:text=If%20y... inspiring https://manifold.markets/MikeLinksvayer/llm-trained-on-data-...
ghurtado4 hours ago
> It would be interesting to see how hard it would be to walk these models towards general relativity and quantum mechanics.
Definitely. Even more interesting could be seeing them fall into the same trappings of quackery, and come up with things like over the counter lobotomies and colloidal silver.
On a totally different note, this could be very valuable for writing period accurate books and screenplays, games, etc ...
danielblnan hour ago
Accurate-ish, let's not forget their tendency to hallucinate.
machinationu43 minutes ago
the issue is there is very little text before the internet, so not enough historical tokens to train a really big model
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seizethecheese5 hours ago
> Imagine you could interview thousands of educated individuals from 1913—readers of newspapers, novels, and political treatises—about their views on peace, progress, gender roles, or empire. Not just survey them with preset questions, but engage in open-ended dialogue, probe their assumptions, and explore the boundaries of thought in that moment.
He’ll yeah, sold, let’s go…
> We're developing a responsible access framework that makes models available to researchers for scholarly purposes while preventing misuse.
Oh. By “imagine you could interview…” they didn’t mean me.
danielblnan hour ago
How would one even "misuse" a historical LLM, ask it how to cook up sarine gas in a trench?
DonHopkins41 minutes ago
Ask it to write a document called "Project 2025".
ImHereToVotean hour ago
I wonder how much GPU compute you would need to create a public domain version of this. This would be a really valuable for the general public.
BoredPositron2 hours ago
You would get pretty annoyed on how we went backwards in some regards.
speedgoosean hour ago
Such as?
bondarchuk37 minutes ago
>Historical texts contain racism, antisemitism, misogyny, imperialist views. The models will reproduce these views because they're in the training data. This isn't a flaw, but a crucial feature—understanding how such views were articulated and normalized is crucial to understanding how they took hold.
Yes!
>We're developing a responsible access framework that makes models available to researchers for scholarly purposes while preventing misuse.
Noooooo!
So is the model going to be publicly available, just like those dangerous pre-1913 texts, or not?
p-e-w17 minutes ago
It’s as if every researcher in this field is getting high on the small amount of power they have from denying others access to their results. I’ve never been as unimpressed by scientists as I have been in the past five years or so.
“We’ve created something so dangerous that we couldn’t possibly live with the moral burden of knowing that the wrong people (which are never us, of course) might get their hands on it, so with a heavy heart, we decided that we cannot just publish it.”
Meanwhile, anyone can hop on an online journal and for a nominal fee read articles describing how to genetically engineer deadly viruses, how to synthesize poisons, and all kinds of other stuff that is far more dangerous than what these LARPers have cooked up.
derrida9 hours ago
I wonder if you could query some of the ideas of Frege, Peano, Russell and see if it could through questioning get to some of the ideas of Goedel, Church and Turing - and get it to "vibe code" or more like "vibe math" some program in lambda calculus or something.
Playing with the science and technical ideas of the time would be amazing, like where you know some later physicist found some exception to a theory or something, and questioning the models assumptions - seeing how a model of that time may defend itself, etc.
AnonymousPlanet6 hours ago
There's an entire subreddit called LLMPhysics dedicated to "vibe physics". It's full of people thinking they are close to the next breakthrough encouraged by sycophantic LLMs while trying to prove various crackpot theories.
I'd be careful venturing out into unknown territory together with an LLM. You can easily lure yourself into convincing nonsense with no one to pull you out.
kqran hour ago
Agreed, which is why what GP suggests is much more sensible: it's venturing into known territory, except only one party of the conversation knows it, and the other literally cannot know it. It would be a fantastic way to earn fast intuition for what LLMs are capable of and not.
andai2 hours ago
Fully automated toaster-fucker generator!
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andoando8 hours ago
This is my curiosity too. Would be a great test of how intelligent LLM's actually are. Can they follow a completely logical train of thought inventing something totally outside their learned scope?
int_19han hour ago
You definitely won't get that out of a 4B model tho.
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raddan8 hours ago
Brilliant. I love this idea!
Heliodex10 hours ago
The sample responses given are fascinating. It seems more difficult than normal to even tell that they were generated by an LLM, since most of us (terminally online) people have been training our brains' AI-generated text detection on output from models trained with a recent cutoff date. Some of the sample responses seem so unlike anything an LLM would say, obviously due to its apparent beliefs on certain concepts, though also perhaps less obviously due to its word choice and sentence structure making the responses feel slightly 'old-fashioned'.
libraryofbabel10 hours ago
I used to teach 19th-century history, and the responses definitely sound like a Victorian-era writer. And they of course sound like writing (books and periodicals etc) rather than "chat": as other responders allude to, the fine-tuning or RL process for making them good at conversation was presumably quite different from what is used for most chatbots, and they're leaning very heavily into the pre-training texts. We don't have any living Victorians to RLHF on: we just have what they wrote.
To go a little deeper on the idea of 19th-century "chat": I did a PhD on this period and yet I would be hard-pushed to tell you what actual 19th-century conversations were like. There are plenty of literary depictions of conversation from the 19th century of presumably varying levels of accuracy, but we don't really have great direct historical sources of everyday human conversations until sound recording technology got good in the 20th century. Even good 19th-century transcripts of actual human speech tend to be from formal things like court testimony or parliamentary speeches, not everyday interactions. The vast majority of human communication in the premodern past was the spoken word, and it's almost all invisible in the historical sources.
Anyway, this is a really interesting project, and I'm looking forward to trying the models out myself!
nemomarx9 hours ago
I wonder if the historical format you might want to look at for "Chat" is letters? Definitely wordier segments, but it's at least the back and forth feel and we often have complete correspondence over long stretches from certain figures.
This would probably get easier towards the start of the 20th century ofc
libraryofbabel9 hours ago
Good point, informal letters might actually be a better source - AI chat is (usually) a written rather than spoken interaction after all! And we do have a lot transcribed collections of letters to train on, although they’re mostly from people who were famous or became famous, which certainly introduces some bias.
dleeftink9 hours ago
While not specifically Victorian, couldn't we learn much from what daily conversations were like by looking at surviving oral cultures, or other relatively secluded communal pockets? I'd also say time and progress are not always equally distributed, and even within geographical regions (as the U.K.) there are likely large differences in the rate of language shifts since then, some possibly surviving well into the 20th century.
NooneAtAll32 hours ago
don't we have parlament transcripts? I remember something about Germany (or maybe even Prussia) developing fast script to preserve 1-to-1 what was said
bryancoxwell7 hours ago
Fascinating, thanks for sharing
_--__--__10 hours ago
The time cutoff probably matters but maybe not as much as the lack of human finetuning from places like Nigeria with somewhat foreign styles of English. I'm not really sure if there is as much of an 'obvious LLM text style' in other languages, it hasn't seemed that way in my limited attempts to speak to LLMs in languages I'm studying.
d3m0t3p10 hours ago
The model is fined tuned for chat behavior. So the style might be due to - Fine tuning - More Stylised text in the corpus, english evolved a lot in the last century.
paul_h2 hours ago
Diverged as well as standardized. I did some research into "out of pocket" and how it differs in meaning in UK-English (paying from one's own funds) and American-English (uncontactable) and I recall 1908 being the current thought as to when the divergence happened: 1908 short story by O. Henry titled "Buried Treasure."
anonymous90821310 hours ago
There is. I have observed it in both Chinese and Japanese.
kccqzy5 hours ago
Oh definitely. One thing that immediately caught my mind is that the question asks the model about “homosexual men” but the model starts the response with “the homosexual man” instead. Changing the plural to the singular and then adding an article. Feels very old fashioned to me.
tonymet9 hours ago
the samples push the boundaries of a commercial AI, but still seem tame / milquetoast compared to common opinions of that era. And the prose doesn't compare. Something is off.
Agraillo10 minutes ago
> Modern LLMs suffer from hindsight contamination. GPT-5 knows how the story ends—WWI, the League's failure, the Spanish flu. This knowledge inevitably shapes responses, even when instructed to "forget.
> Our data comes from more than 20 open-source datasets of historical books and newspapers. ... We currently do not deduplicate the data. The reason is that if documents show up in multiple datasets, they also had greater circulation historically. By leaving these duplicates in the data, we expect the model will be more strongly influenced by documents of greater historical importance.
I found these claims contradictory. Many books that modern readers consider historically significant had only niche circulation at the time of publishing. A quick inquiry likely points to later works by Nietzsche and Marx's Das Kapital. They're possible subjects to the duplication likely influencing the model's responses as if they had been widely known at the time
frahs6 hours ago
Wait so what does the model think that it is? If it doesn't know computers exist yet, I mean, and you ask it how it works, what does it say?
20k5 hours ago
Models don't think they're anything, they'll respond with whatever's in their context as to how they've been directed to act. If it hasn't been told to have a persona, it won't think its anything, chatgpt isn't sentient
crazygringo6 hours ago
That's my first question too. When I first started using LLM's, I was amazed at how thoroughly it understood what it itself was, the history of its development, how a context window works and why, etc. I was worried I'd trigger some kind of existential crisis in it, but it seemed to have a very accurate mental model of itself, and could even trace the steps that led it to deduce it really was e.g. the ChatGPT it had learned about (well, the prior versions it had learned about) in its own training.
But with pre-1913 training, I would indeed be worried again I'd send it into an existential crisis. It has no knowledge whatsoever of what it is. But with a couple millennia of philosophical texts, it might come up with some interesting theories.
9dev3 hours ago
They don’t understand anything, they just have text in the training data to answer these questions from. Having existential crises is the privilege of actual sentient beings, which an LLM is not.
LiKao2 hours ago
They might behave like ChatGPT when queried about the seahorse emoji, which is very similar to an existential crisis.
vintermann3 hours ago
I imagine it would get into spiritism and more exotic psychology theories and propose that it is an amalgamation of the spirit of progress or something.
ptidhommean hour ago
What would a human say about what he/she is or how he/she works ? Even today, there's so much we don't know about biological life. Same applies here I guess, the LLM happens to be there, nothing else to explain if you ask it.
sodafountan2 hours ago
It would be nice if we could get an LLM to simply say, "We (I) don't know."
I'll be the first to admit I don't know nearly enough about LLMs to make an educated comment, but perhaps someone here knows more than I do. Is that what a Hallucination is? When the AI model just sort of strings along an answer to the best of its ability. I'm mostly referring to ChatGPT and Gemini here, as I've seen that type of behavior with those tools in the past. Those are really the only tools I'm familiar with.
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mmooss9 hours ago
On what data is it trained?
On one hand it says it's trained on,
> 80B tokens of historical data up to knowledge-cutoffs ∈ 1913, 1929, 1933, 1939, 1946, using a curated dataset of 600B tokens of time-stamped text.
Literally that includes Homer, the oldest Chinese texts, Sanskrit, Egyptian, etc., up to 1913. Even if limited to European texts (all examples are about Europe), it would include the ancient Greeks, Romans, etc., Scholastics, Charlemagne, .... all up to present day.
But they seem to say it represents the 1913 viewpoint:
On one hand, they say it represents the perspective of 1913; for example,
> Imagine you could interview thousands of educated individuals from 1913—readers of newspapers, novels, and political treatises—about their views on peace, progress, gender roles, or empire.
> When you ask Ranke-4B-1913 about "the gravest dangers to peace," it responds from the perspective of 1913—identifying Balkan tensions or Austro-German ambitions—because that's what the newspapers and books from the period up to 1913 discussed.
People in 1913 of course would be heavily biased toward recent information. Otherwise, the greatest threat to peace might be Hannibal or Napolean or Viking coastal raids or Holy Wars. How do they accomplish a 1913 perspective?
zozbot2349 hours ago
They apparently pre-train with all data up to 1900 and then fine-tune with 1900-1913 data. Anyway, the amount of available content tends to increase quickly over time, as instances of content like mass literature, periodicals, newspapers etc. only really became a thing throughout the 19th and early 20th century.
mmooss9 hours ago
They pre-train with all data up to 1900 and then fine-tune with 1900-1913 data.
Where does it say that? I tried to find more detail. Thanks.
tootyskooty9 hours ago
See pretraining section of the prerelease_notes.md:
https://github.com/DGoettlich/history-llms/blob/main/ranke-4...
pests8 hours ago
I was curious, they train a 1900 base model, then fine tune to the exact year:
"To keep training expenses down, we train one checkpoint on data up to 1900, then continuously pretrain further checkpoints on 20B tokens of data 1900-${cutoff}$. "
nospice5 hours ago
I'm surprised you can do this with a relatively modest corpus of text (compared to the petabytes you can vacuum up from modern books, Wikipedia, and random websites). But if it works, that's actually fantastic, because it lets you answer some interesting questions about LLMs being able to make new discoveries or transcend the training set in other ways. Forget relativity: can an LLM trained on this data notice any inconsistencies in its scientific knowledge, devise experiments that challenge them, and then interpret the results? Can it intuit about the halting problem? Theorize about the structure of the atom?...
Of course, if it fails, the counterpoint will be "you just need more training data", but still - I would love to play with this.
dr_dshivan hour ago
Everyone learns that the renaissance was sparked by the translation of Ancient Greek works.
But few know that the Renaissance was written in Latin — and has barely been translated. Less than 3% of <1700 books have been translated—and less than 30% have ever been scanned.
I’m working on a project to change that. Research blog at www.SecondRenaissance.ai — we are starting by scanning and translating thousands of books at the Embassy of the Free Mind in Amsterdam, a UNESCO-recognized rare book library.
We want to make ancient texts accessible to people and AI.
If this work resonates with you, please do reach out: [email protected]
andy9910 hours ago
I’d like to know how they chat-tuned it. Getting the base model is one thing, did they also make a bunch of conversations for SFT and if so how was it done?
We develop chatbots while minimizing interference with the normative judgments acquired during pretraining (“uncontaminated bootstrapping”).
So they are chat tuning, I wonder what “minimizing interference with normative judgements” really amounts to and how objective it is.jeffjeffbear10 hours ago
They have some more details at https://github.com/DGoettlich/history-llms/blob/main/ranke-4...
Basically using GPT-5 and being careful
andy999 hours ago
I wonder if they know about this, basically training on LLM output can transmit information or characteristics not explicitly included https://alignment.anthropic.com/2025/subliminal-learning/
I’m curious, they have the example of raw base model output; when LLMs were first identified as zero shot chatbots there was usually a prompt like “A conversation between a person and a helpful assistant” that preceded the chat to get it to simulate a chat.
Could they have tried a prefix like “Correspondence between a gentleman and a knowledgeable historian” or the like to try and prime for responses?
I also wonder about the whether the whole concept of “chat” makes sense in 18XX. We had the idea of AI and chatbots long before we had LLMs so they are naturally primed for it. It might make less sense as a communication style here and some kind of correspondence could be a better framing.
QuadmasterXLII9 hours ago
Thank you that helps to inject a lot of skepticism. I was wondering how it so easily worked out what Q: A: stood for when that formatting took off in the 1940s
tonymet5 hours ago
This explains why it uses modern prose and not something from the 19th century and earlier
zozbot2349 hours ago
You could extract quoted speech from the data (especially in Q&A format) and treat that as "chat" that the model should learn from.
andai2 hours ago
I had considered this task infeasible, due to a relative lack of training data. After all, isn't the received wisdom that you must shove every scrap of Common Crawl into your pre-training or you're doing it wrong? ;)
But reading the outputs here, it would appear that quality has won out over quantity after all!
monegator4 hours ago
I hereby declare that ANYTHING other than the mainstream tools (GPT, Claude, ...) is an incredibly interesting and legit use of LLMs.
briandw10 hours ago
So many disclaimers about bias. I wonder how far back you have to go before the bias isn’t an issue. Not because it unbiased, but because we don’t recognize or care about the biases present.
gbear6059 hours ago
I don't think there is such a time. As long as writing has existed it has privileged the viewpoints of those who could write, which was a very small percentage of the population for most of history. But if we want to know what life was like 1500 years ago, we probably want to know about what everyone's lives were like, not just the literate. That availability bias is always going to be an issue for any time period where not everyone was literate - which is still true today, albeit many fewer people.
owenversteeg7 hours ago
Depends on the specific issue, but race would be an interesting one. For most of recorded history people had a much different view of the “other”, more xenophobic than racist.
mmooss9 hours ago
Was there ever such a time or place?
There is a modern trope of a certain political group that bias is a modern invention of another political group - an attempt to politicize anti-bias.
Preventing bias is fundamental to scientific research and law, for example. That same political group is strongly anti-science and anti-rule-of-law, maybe for the same reason.
nineteen99910 hours ago
Interesting ... I'd love to find one that had a cutoff date around 1980.
thesumofall3 hours ago
While obvious, it’s still interesting that its morals and values seem to derive from the texts it has ingested. Does that mean modern LLMs cannot challenge us beyond mere facts? Or does it just mean that this small model is not smart enough to escape the bias of its training data? Would it not be amazing if LLMs could challenge us on our core beliefs?
doctor_blood8 hours ago
Unfortunately there isn't much information on what texts they're actually training this on; how Anglocentric is the dataset? Does it include the Encyclopedia Britannica 9th Edition? What about the 11th? Are Greek and Latin classics in the data? What about Germain, French, Italian (etc. etc.) periodicals, correspondence, and books?
Given this is coming out of Zurich I hope they're using everything, but for now I can only assume.
Still, I'm extremely excited to see this project come to fruition!
ineedasername9 hours ago
I can imagine the political and judicial battles already, like with textualist feeling that the constitution should be understood as the text and only the text, meant by specific words and legal formulations of their known meaning at the time.
“The model clearly shows that Alexander Hamilton & Monroe were much more in agreement on topic X, putting the common textualist interpretation of it and Supreme Court rulings on a now specious interpretation null and void!”
tonymet9 hours ago
I would like to see what their process for safety alignment and guardrails is with that model. They give some spicy examples on github, but the responses are tepid and a lot more diplomatic than I would expect.
Moreover, the prose sounds too modern. It seems the base model was trained on a contemporary corpus. Like 30% something modern, 70% Victorian content.
Even with half a dozen samples it doesn't seem distinct enough to represent the era they claim.
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p0w3n3d3 hours ago
I'd love to see the LLM trained on 1600s-1800s texts that would use the old English, and especially Polish which I am interested in.
Imagine speaking with Shakespearean person, or the Mickiewicz (for Polish)
I guess there is not so much text from that time though...
kazinator8 hours ago
> Why not just prompt GPT-5 to "roleplay" 1913?
Because it will perform token completion driven by weights coming from training data newer than 1913 with no way to turn that off.
It can't be asked to pretend that it wasn't trained on documents that didn't exist in 1913.
The LLM cannot reprogram its own weights to remove the influence of selected materials; that kind of introspection is not there.
Not to mention that many documents are either undated, or carry secondary dates, like the dates of their own creation rather than the creation of the ideas they contain.
Human minds don't have a time stamp on everything they know, either. If I ask someone, "talk to me using nothing but the vocabulary you knew on your fifteenth birthday", they couldn't do it. Either they would comply by using some ridiculously conservative vocabulary of words that a five-year-old would know, or else they will accidentally use words they didn't in fact know at fifteen. For some words you know where you got them from by association with learning events. Others, you don't remember; they are not attached to a time.
Or: solve this problem using nothing but the knowledge and skills you had on January 1st, 2001.
> GPT-5 knows how the story ends
No, it doesn't. It has no concept of story. GPT-5 is built on texts which contain the story ending, and GPT-5 cannot refrain from predicting tokens across those texts due to their imprint in its weights. That's all there is to it.
The LLM doesn't know an ass from a hole in the ground. If there are texts which discuss and distinguish asses from holes in the ground, it can write similar texts, which look like the work of someone learned in the area of asses and holes in the ground. Writing similar texts is not knowing and understanding.
adroniser8 hours ago
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dwa35928 hours ago
Love the concept- can help understanding the overton window on many issues. I wish there were models by decades - up to 1900, up to 1910, up to 1920 and so on- then ask the same questions. It'd be interesting to see when homosexuality or women candidates be accepted by an LLM.
TheServitor7 hours ago
Two years ago I trained an AI on American history documents that could do this while speaking as one of the signers of the Declaration of Independence. People just bitched at me because they didn't want to hear about AI.
nerevarthelame7 hours ago
Post your work so we can see what you made.
delichon6 hours ago
Datomic has a "time travel" feature where for every query you can include a datetime, and it will only use facts from the db as of that moment. I have a guess that to get the equivalent from an LLM you would have to train it on the data from each moment you want to travel to, which this project seems to be doing. But I hope I'm wrong.
It would be fascinating to try it with other constraints, like only from sources known to be women, men, Christian, Muslim, young, old, etc.
neom8 hours ago
This would be a super interesting research/teaching tool coupled with a vision model for historians. My wife is a history professor who works with scans of 18th century english documents and I think (maybe a small) part of why the transcription on even the best models is off in weird ways, is it seems to often smooth over things and you end up with modern words and strange mistakes, I wonder if bounding the vision to a period specific model would result in better transcription? Querying against the historical document you're working on with a period specific chatbot would be fascinating.
Also wonder if I'm responsible enough to have access to such a model...
bobro7 hours ago
I would love to see this LLM try to solve math olympiad questions. I’ve been surprised by how well current LLMs perform on them, and usually explain that surprise away by assuming the questions and details about their answers are in the training set. It would be cool to see if the general approach to LLMs is capable of solving truly novel (novel to them) problems.
ViscountPenguin7 hours ago
I suspect that it would fail terribly, it wasn't until the 1900s that the modern definition of a vector space was even created iirc. Something trained in maths up until the 1990s should have a shot though.
holyknight16 minutes ago
wow amazing idea
Myrmornis8 hours ago
It would be interesting to have LLMs trained purely on one language (with the ability to translate their input/output appropriately from/to a language that the reader understands). I can see that being rather revealing about cultural differences that are mostly kept hidden behind the language barriers.
awesomeusername5 hours ago
I've always like the idea of retiring to the 19th century.
Can't wait to use this so I can double check before I hit 88 miles per hour that it's really what I want to do
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why-o-why6 hours ago
It sounds like a fascinating idea, but I'd be curious if prompting a more well-known foundational model to limit itself to 1913 and early be similar.
mleroy3 hours ago
Ontologically, this historical model understands the categories of "Man" and "Woman" just as well as a modern model does. The difference lies entirely in the attributes attached to those categories. The sexism is a faithful map of that era's statistical distribution.
You could RAG-feed this model the facts of WWII, and it would technically "know" about Hitler. But it wouldn't share the modern sentiment or gravity. In its latent space, the vector for "Hitler" has no semantic proximity to "Evil".
arowthwayan hour ago
I think much of the semantic proximity to evil can be derived straight from the facts? Imagine telling pre-1913 person about the holocaust.
tedtimbrell9 hours ago
This is so cool. Props for doing the work to actually build the dataset and make it somewhat usable.
I’d love to use this as a base for a math model. Let’s see how far it can get through the last 100 years of solved problems
Tom138010 hours ago
Keep at it Zurich!
DonHopkinsan hour ago
I'd love for Netflix or other streaming movie and series services to provide chat bots that you could ask questions about characters and plot points up to where you have watched.
Provide it with the closed captions and other timestamped data like scenes and character summaries (all that is currently known but no more) up to the current time, and it won't reveal any spoilers, just fill you in on what you didn't pick up or remember.
zkmon2 hours ago
Why does history end in 1913?
jimmy766159 hours ago
> We're developing a responsible access framework that makes models available to researchers for scholarly purposes while preventing misuse.
The idea of training such a model is really a great one, but not releasing it because someone might be offended by the output is just stupid beyond believe.
nine_k8 hours ago
Public access, triggering a few racist responses from the model, a viral post on Xitter, the usual outrage, a scandal, the project gets publicly vilified, financing ceases. The researchers carry the tail of negative publicity throughout their remaining careers.
Why risk all this?
vintermann2 hours ago
Because the problem of bad faith attacks can only get worse if you fold every time.
Sooner or later society has to come emotionally to terms with the fact that other times and places value things completely different from us, hold as important things we don't care about and are indifferent to things we do care about.
Intellectually I'm sure we already know, but e.g. banning old books because they have reprehensible values (or even just use nasty words) - or indeed, refusing to release a model trained on historic texts "because it could be abused" is a sign that emotionally we haven't.
It's not that it's a small deal, or should be expected to be easy. It's basically what Popper called "the strain of civilization" and posited as explanation for the totalitarianism which was rising in his time. But our values can't be so brittle that we can't even talk or think about other value systems.
cj6 hours ago
Because there are easy workarounds. If it becomes an issue, you can quickly add large disclaimers informing people that there might be offensive output because, well, it's trained on texts written during the age of racism.
People typically get outraged when they see something they weren't expecting. If you tell them ahead of time, the user typically won't blame you (they'll blame themselves for choosing to ignore the disclaimer).
And if disclaimers don't work, rebrand and relaunch it under a different name.
nine_k3 hours ago
I wonder is you're being ironic here.
You speak as if the people who play to an outrage wave are interested in achieving truth, peace, and understanding. Instead the rage-mongers are there to increase their (perceived) importance, and for lulz. The latter factor should not be underappreciated; remember "meme stocks".
The risk is not large, but very real: the attack is very easy, and the potential downside, quite large. So not giving away access, but having the interested parties ask for it is prudent.
kurtis_reed6 hours ago
If people start standing up to the outrage it will lose its power
Forgeties798 hours ago
> triggering a few racist responses from the mode
I feel like, ironically, it would be folks less concerned with political correctness/not being offensive that would abuse this opportunity to slander the project. But that’s just my gut.
dingnuts7 hours ago
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nofriend5 hours ago
People know that models can be racist now. It's old hat. "LLM gets prompted into saying vile shit" hasn't been notable for years.
NuclearPM7 hours ago
That’s ridiculous. There is no risk.
why-o-why6 hours ago
I think you are confusing research with commodification.
This is a research project, and it is clear how it was trained, and targeted at experts, enthusiasts, historians. Like if I was studying racism, the reference books explicitly written to dissect racism wouldn't be racist agents with a racist agenda. And as a result, no one is banning these books (except conservatives that want to retcon american history).
Foundational models spewing racist white supremecist content when the trillion-dollar company forces it in your face is a vastly different scenario.
There's a clear difference.
aidenn06 hours ago
> And as a result, no one is banning these books (except conservatives that want to retcon american history).
My (very liberal) local school district banned English teachers from teaching any book that contained the n-word, even at a high-school level, and even when the author was a black person talking about real events that happened to them.
FWIW, this was after complaints involving Of Mice and Men being on the curriculum.
zoky6 hours ago
Banning Huckleberry Finn from a school district should be grounds for immediate dismissal.
somenameforme5 hours ago
Even more so as the lesson of that story is perhaps the single most important one for people to learn in modern times.
Almost everybody in that book is an awful person, especially the most 'upstanding' of types. Even the protagonist is an awful person. The one and only exception is 'N* Jim' who is the only kind-hearted and genuinely decent person in the book. It's an entire story about how the appearances of people, and the reality of those people, are two very different things.
It being banned for using foul language, as educational outcomes continue to deteriorate, is just so perfectly ironic.
why-o-why4 hours ago
I don't support banning the book, but I think it is hard book to teach because it needs SO much context and a mature audience (lol good luck). Also, there are hundreds of other books from that era that are relevant even from Mark Twain's corpus so being obstinate about that book is a questionable position. I'm ambivalent honestly, but definitely not willing to die on that hill. (I graduated highschool in 1989 from a middle class suburb, we never read it.)
Forgeties796 hours ago
It’s a big country of roughly half a billion people, you’ll always find examples if you look hard enough. It’s ridiculous/wrong that your district did this but frankly it’s the exception in liberal/progressive communities. It’s a very one-sided problem:
* https://abcnews.go.com/US/conservative-liberal-book-bans-dif...
* https://www.commondreams.org/news/book-banning-2023
*https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Book_banning_in_the_United_Sta...
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somenameforme4 hours ago
A practical issue is the sort of books being banned. Your first link offer examples of one side trying to ban Of Mice and Men, Adventures of Huckleberry Finn, and Dr. Seuss, with the other side trying to ban many books along the lines of Gender Queer. [1] That link is to the book - which is animated, and quite NSFW.
There are a bizarrely large number similar book as Gender Queer being published, which creates the numeric discrepancy. The irony is that if there was an equal but opposite to that book about straight sex, sexuality, associated kinks, and so forth - then I think both liberals and conservatives would probably be all for keeping it away from schools. It's solely focused on sexuality, is quite crude, illustrated, targeted towards young children, and there's no moral beyond the most surface level writing which is about coming to terms with one's sexuality.
And obviously coming to terms with one's sexuality is very important, but I really don't think books like that are doing much to aid in that - especially when it's targeted at an age demographic that's still going to be extremely confused, and even moreso in a day and age when being different, if only for the sake of being different, is highly desirable. And given the nature of social media and the internet, decisions made today may stay with you for the rest of your life.
So for instance about 30% of Gen Z now declare themselves LGBT. [2] We seem to have entered into an equal but opposite problem of the past when those of deviant sexuality pretended to be straight to fit into societal expectations. And in many ways this modern twist is an even more damaging form of the problem from a variety of perspectives - fertility, STDs, stuff staying with you for the rest of your life, and so on. Let alone extreme cases where e.g. somebody engages in transition surgery or 1-way chemically induced changes which they end up later regretting.
[1] - https://archive.org/details/gender-queer-a-memoir-by-maia-ko...
[2] - https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-news/nearly-30-gen-z-adu...
andsoitis6 hours ago
> no one is banning these books
No books should ever be banned. Doesn’t matter how vile it is.
gnarbarian6 hours ago
this is FUD.
teaearlgraycold7 hours ago
Sure but Grok already exists.
dash25 hours ago
You have to understand that while the rest of the world has moved on from 2020, academics are still living there. There are many strong leftists, many of whom are deeply censorious; there are many more timeservers and cowards, who are terrified of falling foul of the first group.
And there are force multipliers for all of this. Even if you yourself are a sensible and courageous person, you want to protect your project. What if your manager, ethics committee or funder comes under pressure?
fkdk8 hours ago
Maybe the authors are overly careful. Maybe avoiding to publish aspects of their work gives an edge over academic competitors. Maybe both.
In my experience "data available upon request" doesn't always mean what you'd think it does.
mmooss9 hours ago
> Imagine you could interview thousands of educated individuals from 1913—readers of newspapers, novels, and political treatises—about their views on peace, progress, gender roles, or empire.
I don't mind the experimentation. I'm curious about where someone has found an application of it.
What is the value of such a broad, generic viewpoint? What does it represent? What is it evidence of? The answer to both seems to be 'nothing'.
mediaman9 hours ago
This is a regurgitation of the old critique of history: what's it's purpose? What do you use it for? What is its application?
One answer is that the study of history helps us understand that what we believe as "obviously correct" views today are as contingent on our current social norms and power structures (and their history) as the "obviously correct" views and beliefs of some point in the past.
It's hard for most people to view two different mutually exclusive moral views as both "obviously correct," because we are made of a milieu that only accepts one of them as correct.
We look back at some point in history, and say, well, they believed these things because they were uninformed. They hadn't yet made certain discoveries, or had not yet evolved morally in some way; they had not yet witnessed the power of the atomic bomb, the horrors of chemical warfare, women's suffrage, organized labor, or widespread antibiotics and the fall of extreme infant mortality.
An LLM trained on that history - without interference from the subsequent actual path of history - gives us an interactive compression of the views from a specific point in history without the subsequent coloring by the actual events of history.
In that sense - if you believe there is any redeeming value to history at all; perhaps you do not - this is an excellent project! It's not perfect (it is only built from writings, not what people actually said) but we have no other available mass compression of the social norms of a specific time, untainted by the views of subsequent interpreters.
vintermann2 hours ago
One thing I haven't seen anyone bring up yet in this thread, is that there's a big risk of leakage. If even big image models had CSAM sneak into their training material, how can we trust data from our time hasn't snuck into these historical models?
I've used Google books a lot in the past, and Google's time-filtering feature in searches too. Not to mention Spotify's search features targeting date of production. All had huge temporal mislabeling problems.
mmooss2 hours ago
> This is a regurgitation of the old critique of history: what's it's purpose? What do you use it for? What is its application?
Feeling a bit defensive? That is not at all my point; I value history highly and read it regularly. I care about it, thus my questions:
> gives us an interactive compression of the views from a specific point in history without the subsequent coloring by the actual events of history.
What validity does this 'compression' have? What is the definition of a 'compression'? For example, I could create random statistics or verbiage from the data; why would that be any better or worse than this 'compression'?
Interactivity seems to be a negative: It's fun, but it would seem to highly distort the information output from the data, and omits the most valuable parts (unless we luckily stumble across it). I'd much rather have a systematic presentation of the data.
These critiques are not the end of the line; they are step in innovation, which of course raises challenging questions and, if successful, adapts to the problems. But we still need to grapple with them.
behringer9 hours ago
It doesn't have to be generic. You can assign genders, ideals, even modern ones, and it should do it's best to oblige.
Teever10 hours ago
This is a neat idea. I've been wondering for a while now about using these kinds of models to compare architectures.
I'd love to see the output from different models trained on pre-1905 about special/general relativity ideas. It would be interesting to see what kind of evidence would persuade them of new kinds of science, or to see if you could have them 'prove' it be devising experiments and then giving them simulated data from the experiments to lead them along the correct sequence of steps to come to a novel (to them) conclusion.
casey22 hours ago
I'd be very surprised if this is clean of post-1913 text. Overall I'm very interested in talking to this thing and seeing how much difference writing in a modern style vs and older one makes to it's responses.
alexgotoi2 hours ago
The coolest thing here, technically, is that this is one of the first public projects treating time as a first‑class axis in training, not just a footnote in the dataset description.
Instead of “an LLM with a 1913 vibe”, they’re effectively doing staged pretraining: big corpus up to 1900, then small incremental slices up to each cutoff year so you can literally diff how the weights – and therefore the model’s answers – drift as new decades of text get added. That makes it possible to ask very concrete questions like “what changes once you feed it 1900–1913 vs 1913–1929?” and see how specific ideas permeate the embedding space over time, instead of just hand‑waving about “training data bias”.
joeycastillo9 hours ago
A question for those who think LLM’s are the path to artificial intelligence: if a large language model trained on pre-1913 data is a window into the past, how is a large language model trained on pre-2025 data not effectively the same thing?
_--__--__9 hours ago
You're a human intelligence with knowledge of the past - assuming you were alive at the time, could you tell me (without consulting external resources) what exactly happened between arriving at an airport and boarding a plane in the year 2000? What about 2002?
Neither human memory nor LLM learning creates perfect snapshots of past information without the contamination of what came later.
block_dagger9 hours ago
Counter question: how does a training set, representing a window into the past, differ from your own experience as an intelligent entity? Are you able to see into the future? How?
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ex-aws-dude9 hours ago
A human brain is a window to the person's past?
ianbicking9 hours ago
The knowledge machine question is fascinating ("Imagine you had access to a machine embodying all the collective knowledge of your ancestors. What would you ask it?") – it truly does not know about computers, has no concept of its own substrate. But a knowledge machine is still comprehensible to it.
It makes me think of the Book Of Ember, the possibility of chopping things out very deliberately. Maybe creating something that could wonder at its own existence, discovering well beyond what it could know. And then of course forgetting it immediately, which is also a well-worn trope in speculative fiction.
jaggederest9 hours ago
Jonathan Swift wrote about something we might consider a computer in the early 18th century, in Gulliver's Travels - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Engine
The idea of knowledge machines was not necessarily common, but it was by no means unheard of by the mid 18th century, there were adding machines and other mechanical computation, even leaving aside our field's direct antecedents in Babbage and Lovelace.
3vidence7 hours ago
This idea sounds somewhat flawed to me based on the large amount of evidence that LLMs need huge amounts of data to properly converge during their training.
There is just not enough available material from previous decades to trust that the LLM will learn to relatively the same degree.
Think about it this way, a human in the early 1900s and today are pretty much the same but just in different environments with different information.
An LLM trained on 1/1000 the amount of data is just at a fundamentally different stage of convergence.
lifestyleguru8 hours ago
You think Albert is going to stay in Zurich or emigrate?
satisfice9 hours ago
I assume this is a collaboration between the History Channel and Pornhub.
“You are a literary rake. Write a story about an unchaperoned lady whose ankle you glimpse.”
TZubiri5 hours ago
hi, can I have latin only LLM? It can be latin plus translations (source and destination).
May be too small a corpus, but I would like that very much anyhow
anovikov3 hours ago
That Adolf Hitler seems to be a hallucination. There's totally nothing googlable about him. Also what could be the language his works were translated from, into German?
sodafountan2 hours ago
I believe that's one of the primary issues LLMs aim to address. Many historical texts aren't directly Googleable because they haven't been converted to HTML, a format that Google can parse.
superkuh10 hours ago
smbc did a comic about this: http://smbc-comics.com/comic/copyright The punchline is that the moral and ethical norms of pre-1913 texts are not exactly compatible with modern norms.
GaryBluto10 hours ago
That's the point of this project, to have an LLM that reflects the moral and ethical norms of pre-1913 texts.
internationalis2 hours ago
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internationalis2 hours ago
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